Greatrapple » Thu May 24, 2018 12:58 am wrote:Hi C1borg
Have run your Processes and it worked perfectly.
Now just need to understand the results.
Cheers Richard
Ok when you finish the results will appear here's what they mean....
1. Prediction Trend Accuracy
Simply how accurate the prediction you just ran is. In this example 77.5% this will vary and I suggest you run a new prediction on every Friday close ready for the following week. This is a prediction of the TREND up or down for the next week. 2. Example Set Generate Attributes
You can move the collumns around but the 2 we are interested in are the Prediction Label and the HV 5 Day Daily-0. The values themselves are meaningless to us but basically if the prediction is above the previous 5 day the trend is up or alternatively the prediction is less than previous 5 day the trend is down. Thats why the last 2 entries at the bottom are the most important. 3.The Log File and Parameter Set
Just shows all the permutations it went through to achieve the prediction and the best result from the tests.
We can also see this in the graph section to see the prediction and actual results and how they look together. This is an edited image.
I dont know if this is useful or not just thought I would put it out there for you to try, I dont have time to fully test it but im sure it could be incorporated into Empty4 and may be an additional tool to try.
Btw you can get the data directly from Empty4 History and export into Excel just make sure the format is correct. Oh and you need at least 2-3 years of data to get a meaningful prediction.
Have fun