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| GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=4121 |
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| Author: | garyfritz [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 5:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
If you run a "50 pip TP / 100 pip SL" test on random data, you will find that the win rate is just about 66.6%. Meaning you get 2 50-pip wins for each 100-pip loss. Similarly if you have equal-sized TP and SL, you'll get a 50% win rate. You end up flat, before you consider spreads, slippage, commissions, etc. You can't pull profit out of randomness that easily. Obviously GBPJPY isn't random data. But for the simple approach you're using, I would bet it's going to act just about the same. |
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| Author: | nonlinear [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 6:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
This was a long time ago. His screen name was ronaldraygun and he was prolific poster and EA trader back in the day. My recollection is that he had a system that relied on moves, regardless of direction, so long as price moved sufficiently. Some more information to consider https://www.mataf.net/en/tools/02-01-volatility One could essentially set, for example, the TP as 1/2 of the ATR, and the SL at 1/4 of the ATR on various pairs, assuming that the original system premise holds true for other pairs. Please let us know how it goes, Nika, particularly if you try different variations on other volatile pairs. |
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| Author: | nika [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 7:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
Friends, I have changed RR to 3:1 positive. 150/50 and it works little bit better. if we will close all of positions when overall equity profit will be 30$, 35$ or may be 40$ it will raise our chances to gain profit, what do you think? Can it be coded? |
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| Author: | milanese [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 7:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
you can use for this the simpleAllPairBasketManager --> http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =21&t=4081 Cheers Tommaso |
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| Author: | nonlinear [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 7:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
Nika, you might also want to play with the trading hours feature. Your system is counting on a move of 50 pips continuing in that direction. If GJ has already moved 150 pips during the london session, without further information, it seems like a coin flip to keep placing trades during the hours following that 150 pip move. |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 7:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
I have locked this topic. I am about to eat some tea and am ravenous. I will explain why I have locked it later. It will remain locked after my explanation. |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Wed Feb 18, 2015 10:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | GBP/JPY every hour automatic system. |
Here is an explanation of backtesting does not work: http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... 83#p108983 The guy whose idea I spent a few minutes coding appears now to espouse his entire trading system on backtesting results. Earlier this week, I deleted an entire sub-forum for the same crime. I trust my message is clear nika. I can always clarify should that be necessary. nb I have deleted the ea from post 2. Do not repost it nika Do feel free to use it for a while and eventually post successful trading results. |
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