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The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff
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Author:  Tom822 [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 9:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Oh, and one more things. I would like to warning you guys before these "3 days cycle" because sometimes you will not get 3 levels as you expect and it not must be your fault because for example you incorrectly counted levels.

Sometimes, especially in such situations when you trade against main trend but it is not a rule as well, you will get only 2 levels and it is not only my opinion. Check some posts of trader called nicoacademia in this thread.

nicoacademia » Mon Mar 25, 2013 6:14 am wrote:
mjws00 wrote:Well boys here are some confusing pictures. EU has got me wondering what is up. On our 1H chart I see three nice pushes. We have a perfect setup for a nice stop hunt north and then drive it down. 50 pip run throws this right into the perfect sweet spot for a turn.

But they could easily shake it up a bit in here if we zoom out a little.

4H they have put in a bottom and started trapping late shorts... Nice pins and a pretty little W we could buy in the 1.2900 range.

Kinda feel like if I sell into this rally, even on a pretty M.... They will sweep it and cause me suffering.

Goofy muddled count with a gap that is technically not filled. They let a LOT of trapped bulls off the hook with the last pushes up. So it is really just those bears that sold the lows and the fakes around 1.2880 that are in pain. 1.2905 would be a beauty test down low.

Could be interesting. I can see a dozen moves they could make on this chart. CJ what am I missing? I see run north, kill weak bulls south, turn back north. But also potential to put in a longer TF bottom here.

Mike
not sure if this is counterproductive but the same pattern is seen on the dollar index. which is 67-orsomething% weighted to the EUR, then the JPY, then GBP...etc...etc...

edit:i guess we have to wait for the patterns W/M to form n then proceed from there. i guess its safer. EU1H does look like its starting to prong an M formation.
but what do i know.

for those 10.4 traders. EU is at a midpivot. and also at the 200 LWMA(O)(i modded to 200)


and here is the eurusd1h daily cycles. it's quite zoom zoom i guess cos of the news.
but if it lulls to 3. a reverse move is expected. (actually most just go 1-2. 1-2. 1-2. some even just 1 within one of the day's 3 sessions).

doesn't mean a 3 means it's going to hell. it just tilts the odds/favour/book probability that profit to push is in the opposite direction.
think of the foxes looking at the books.
Author:  sympathy [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 9:46 am ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

marcoFF » Fri Dec 18, 2015 10:17 am wrote:Hi sympathy, your entry tf is M15.. but you look for the 3 push cicle on H4 or D1?
Can you show how do you choose that trades on the higher tf?
Thanks
Which pair bcos i scalped some pairs this morning.
Author:  Silweri [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 10:15 am ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Nicely done Sympathy! :good:

I took EURUSD. Maby push up before level 3 down ;)

Watching closely...

Also fast EURCAD trade. Closed already.
Author:  Silweri [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 10:40 am ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

AUDJPY might be at level 3
Author:  caveywoolpert [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 11:52 am ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Silweri » Fri Dec 18, 2015 10:40 am wrote:AUDJPY might be at level 3

have look at weekly chart, imo there is still a lot of room to drop
Author:  sympathy [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 12:15 pm ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

just as easy as this
Author:  sympathy [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 12:17 pm ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Silweri » Fri Dec 18, 2015 11:40 am wrote:AUDJPY might be at level 3
don't buy that pair now bro. open your eyes :D that is level 2 dropping :D
Author:  sympathy [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 12:36 pm ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Fox has been manipulating price. Things are slow this days
Author:  sympathy [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

sympathy » Fri Dec 18, 2015 1:15 pm wrote:just as easy as this
this pair is not looking good today :arrrg: :arrrg:
Author:  Tom822 [ Fri Dec 18, 2015 2:24 pm ]
Post subject:  The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

sympathy » Fri Dec 18, 2015 1:36 pm wrote:
sympathy » Fri Dec 18, 2015 1:15 pm wrote:just as easy as this
this pair is not looking good today :arrrg: :arrrg:
But I think that a long position on EUR/USD is still valid. It depends from that what foxes do next.
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