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| The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=1572 |
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| Author: | jksynergyworks [ Thu Oct 26, 2017 11:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Thank you. It happened as you have predicted. I have exited and waiting for the second leg of M before selling again. |
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| Author: | rewand [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 8:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Anyone knows what is happening with GU? I just do not seem to understand its moves, maybe tunnel view.. or end of month, or me being suckered by fox this time.. Can you post what you see? I mean a good analysis with levels, cycle and/or patterns, all on charts please. By the way, I am long and experiencing some unexplainable dd this time. I thought I knew it better but it seems there are more lessons to learn. Anyway, I expected this pair to hit at least 34 this week and 36 later on in few days time. I also expected long yesterday after retrace but interpreted level wrongly. Yes, you could say do not trade this pair but how would one know when he thinks he understands the pair. Thanks! |
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| Author: | rewand [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 8:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Maybe we are at E only. Otherwise makes sense to me. |
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| Author: | flywood [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 9:09 am ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Here's my 2 cents. I think GU should be going down in the longer term. There might be a reset after the second level push, though. Might be wrong, mind you, still finding my way... |
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| Author: | rewand [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 10:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
But I think something has not been done yet. Money collection to the last cent. I believe the X is a false move due to end of month, should be eliminated and we should get back to the normal course of PA before going down. Update: Or F is a false dirty move and I is G? Hmmm, that would explain everything !!! Update 2: Heh "F" stands for FALSE - shit, I should have known! |
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| Author: | Wavegarrick [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 4:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Hi Guys, Gu has been a difficult one to trade. Since July one month up, August one month down, Sept one month up, October one month down. Currently sitting just below my yearly pivot at 1.31256. If November goes below my monthly close I will look at shorts. If price goes above my monthly pivot at 1.33185 in November I will undoubtedly look at longs. Gu clearly in a long term ranging period. I do believe that November will give us more clarity and hopefully we have a Xmas run. Cheers Leon |
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| Author: | jannetrading [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Ok, so I've been too fast when I counted the levels. Thank you for your comment. It is grateful to get help with the analyzes you make. :hi: |
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| Author: | TraderJoeForex [ Fri Oct 27, 2017 11:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
I would say the opposite. D1 is trading up from peak low. Price has recently broken the highs of the past year and is currently testing as support. Then again I have been expecting dollar strength to fade for a while and it didn't happen this week until perhaps the end of today. With GU price hasn't broken the early October low and I don't expect it to. If it does then I am wrong. |
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| Author: | fetch [ Sat Oct 28, 2017 7:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Thanks for your efforts. You got me looking at CJ's "ranging" chart again. It had been over my head before and I had just tried to do the 3 pushes / levels. I can see now how looking at one aspect without the other gets me lost at times. I also now (at long last) have a better idea of what sympathy was referring to. In relation to your idea of A - K rules (given that they will not always work), I've been look at how often the "D" forms in the "2". Not always, sometimes if the the 2nd and 3rd levels have been it a bit flat, "D" may go to the "1". Otherwise if the peak (hi or low) is a long way from the "3", the "D" may then form at the "3". Trading wise, given that "F" is beyond "A", trading from "D" towards "F" with a TP at "A" should be do-able. If I have got the count wrong (again) and we have not got to level 3 yet, the trade should still work because price has to mover further in my trade direction to form a "3". Cheers |
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| Author: | TraderJoeForex [ Sat Oct 28, 2017 1:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff |
Yes. I agree trading away from D seems the lowest risk option always. |
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