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| Slopey Peaky Bob https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=5389 |
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| Author: | Yannis [ Sat Jun 16, 2018 9:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
@1of3, John, thank you very much for the fix. Yannis |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
V 1n is in post 1. This has the fix presented by John a couple of days ago. I have added a new input to the swap filter section - MaximumAcceptableNegativeSwap. From the updated user guide:
Last week saw three baskets closing on each of my live trading accounts. The third closed after FridayCloseAllHour and cost c. 20 over the three accounts. Altogether, the 6 baskets that closed at TP added $303 everall, which makes the running total $1,131 since taking SPB live. Gareth's account topped $600 last week and is recovering well from its pre-SPB low of c. $230. |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Sun Jun 17, 2018 5:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
I have added a couple of set files to post 1. Details in post 1. |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Sun Jun 17, 2018 7:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
For coders and US SHF members, it turns out that we are just lucky when my FIFO code works correctly. Here is the explanation that Kopan just sent me: US members, definitely give Kopan's version a try. |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Mon Jun 18, 2018 2:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
V 1o is in post 1 with John's basket trailing stop. Huge contribution, John. There are three inputs in the basket trading inputs section. From the updated user guide:
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| Author: | Wavegarrick [ Mon Jun 18, 2018 7:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
A huge contribution indeed. Many thanks John and Steve. Cheers Leon |
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| Author: | SteveHopwood [ Mon Jun 18, 2018 11:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
A question for The Thinkers here. Bear in mind that everything I produce here applies to Koban's US version and I shall pass it to him for easy addition. There is nothing different in the trading methodology, only in the trade closure. So, we have a basket close and cheer mightily. Mine just did and I am indeed cheering mightily. Another $120 in the equity across two of my accounts. The bot instantly sends a new grid of stop orders because the trading conditions are still in place. Here is the question. Should we introduce a delay before this happens? |
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| Author: | tomele [ Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
Why should it wait? How could it distinguish situations when it should wait and when it should not? The conditions are in place, aren't they? Just asking.... |
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| Author: | Zennor [ Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
Steve, I have been considering this one and my thoughts are when a basket is closed are the conditions still in place as per the original signals? Or are we placing trades at the end of the run on the original signal? Personally, when a basket closes I would prefer all new trades to be on new signals and not stale signals. Tomele I hear what you are saying that if we still have two greens or two reds why not trade it? But how much juice can you squeeze out of an orange? If a particular signal has already reaped 3/4/5 good grids and the signal remains what is the highest probability that it will continue? Or reverse? Of course nobody knows for sure but personally, I think that after a basket closes it might be prudent to trade only new signals. Just thinking out loud here but perhaps you could quantify what would warrant a new signal or not. Say if a pair only triggered one or two grids before basket closure then perhaps that pair could be made exempt from requiring a new signal? |
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| Author: | renexxxx [ Tue Jun 19, 2018 12:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | Slopey Peaky Bob |
This question comes down to conditional probabilities and independent events: Independent Events: Two events A and B are said to be independent if the fact that one event has occurred does not affect the probability that the other event will occur. Conditional Probability: the probability of an event (A), given that another (B) has already occurred. Probability theory tells us: In the case where events A and B are independent (where event A has no effect on the probability of event B), the conditional probability of event B given event A is simply the probability of event B, that is P(B). Eg. Take a coin toss. What is the probability that I will get "heads" given that I got 10 "heads" in a row before. Answer: 50%. It doesn't matter what has happened before -- each coin toss is independent. To refer back to the original question: What is the conditional probability that an entry signal produces a winning set of trades, given that that same entry signal has already produced one or more winning set of trades? I don't believe that the Forex market is keeping track of how much money you or your trading system has already made with a given signal. If it did, you would need to put logic in your EA that --when it spots an entry signal-- it first looks back to see if that same entry signal would have already generated a winning set of trades and if so abort the trading operation for this entry signal. So, I believe that the events A (an entry signal will produce a winning set of trades) and B (the entry signal has already produced a winning set of trades) are independent. My 2 cents. |
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