Ingot54 wrote:lilac wrote:Pedigree wrote:
Could it be that GU, which has been ripe for a reversal since 2 days ago, is being held in wait for the other pairs? A reversal will usually involve most pairs, if not all, but JPY pairs especially have been lagging and are only now struggling to catch up.
Do you think a reversal on JPY will come soon? I have a sell order on GBPJPY from last week, and waiting for that one to go down, it will eventually drop, the question is when and how deep it will go.
lilac wrote:I didn't miss it, just got shaked and stopped out. Anyway, I thought AUDUSD was reversing this week to the upside, will look tomorrow again and see what they plan with this one.
Hi Lilac
I notice you are working very hard to understand and spot the tracks of the fox. Well done for the effort. You are not alone in this intense learning quest. I am still trying to "get it" myself ... and making slow progress..
I have highlighted both of your recent posts for two reasons:
1) We can not anticipate a reversal, and to expect (or hope for) one, can lead to despair and damage.
2) I thought I'd offer a tool I use to look at what the market "might" be doing over a longer TF. This might help, but only to confirm - never try to use it as a forecasting tool. In fact, you are better not using it at all, and staying naked in every respect. (Post #1 of the thread does offer some useful tools.)
Having said that, CJ has already set out (and also Kwanann, and many others now) ways to pick entries, which in effect, are reversal expectations. So in that respect I don't think we look at trades as trend or counter trend setups. I hope someone corrects me if I am wrong.
See the link at the bottom of this post for the link to the Indices Empty4 platform..
Occasionally I check to see what the Indices of all the majors are doing. If you want to see what the JPY Index is doing, just look at the GBPJPY. This pair is not called "The Beast" for nothing, as those who are learning to handle her are discovering. But she is a thing of beauty (and profit) if you can tame her.
The GBPJPY is almost a perfect proxy for the JPY Index ...
so if the trend is up/down in the GJ, it will also be up/down in the YEN Index. A
falling JPY Index means the
xxxJPY pairs will be rising.
Now - if you want to see what the majors are doing in their "pure" form as an Index, download the Empty4 demo platform from Liteforex, at the link below. As far as I know Liteforex is the only Empty4 platform that offers the Indices, through their association with SigTrader. I put the indices up as a block of "pure charts", and I can expand any of them for a closer look.
Hope this helps - I found it about the same as the Correlation charts (CSS or Currency Slope Strength meter)
Indices.JPG
And here is the link to Liteforex if interested:
http://www.liteforex.com/downloads/Empty4/
.