The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

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kwanann
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by kwanann »

MajorD wrote:What is the Fox thinking?

With 75% going short @myfxbook and 63% short @FF, the Fox has thrown up two Pin-bars(Stophunts?) or is he trying to round up the bulls to pay for the bears? :?

EDIT; sorry on the EURUSD.
No idea..i'm long, just TP. waiting for retrace to add more.

My guess? it probably just hit 1.3, or was near enough to trap those buy shorts there. So its torture time, bring things crashing down maybe say 50 pips or so, get everyone shorting it, then up up and away
I've been trading using OM Dual N EA for the past 2 years, live results can be found over at https://www.fxblue.com/users/kwanann
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banteka
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by banteka »

MajorD wrote:
McNish wrote:Thanks for the hint. Will try. Cheers, :)

Major, what made you think AU was going south?

UJ long pending missed by a pip or two, still time to go for it.
Well originally I thought there was an M forming at the top after a run up
au15.jpg
What have I missed?
I think that's not an M. I would search for a long pinbar in the first leg in order to start thinking in a'M' pattern in course. The FOX's target would be to suck long orders.
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kwanann
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by kwanann »

One more thing about M and W.. it should form at a peak high or peak low.. not in the middle
I've been trading using OM Dual N EA for the past 2 years, live results can be found over at https://www.fxblue.com/users/kwanann
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mjws00
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by mjws00 »

That AUSUSD entry was fine. They don't all win. There was just shy of 15 pips available on your entry. BE+ easy. I took it later than you and didn't sweat it for a second. It just didn't run our way. It may very well do so now.

There is NO way to know if they will keep the bulls in that bull trap stuck or not. If they have what they need it turns there. A solid RRT, followed by a lower double top (M), is excellent all day long. All else is hindsight trading.

In truth, we are near a Big Round Number that may have very nice stops above worth taking before a real nice turn materializes. Lots of good hunting for foxy up around 0.9328 as well (WR1) and coming in range of OB/OS indi traders, Bollinger Bands, TMA, and ATR.

LONDON Session has been flat. 32 Pips in EURAUD, 40 in EURNZD. Took most of EURAUD but a waste of time. More action in Asia today.

M's don't need a pinbar on the first leg. They have all kinds of shapes. The pattern is simply. Trap longs, pull back and stop out the weak longs, either via stops or time. Show a pullback, to entice more long entries and sell into them. Second leg can be slightly higher to trap more breakout traders, or lower to leave good volume stuck. Both are nice.

I'm on the other side of the UJ longs.

Green pips ya'll. Maybe NY will get things moving.

Mike
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CCCGAMING
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by CCCGAMING »

what do you think guys
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lilac
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by lilac »

I thought I saw a M forming on GBPUSD, it looked good on H1 and M15 too, so I put a sell on the H4 pins a little higher than 1.54. I thought I had a short at the high of the day, but then starts going higher, it feels like I bought their shit again... or not? It is falling now, so it may be right.
Anyway, right or not, they make you suffer...
Larryk
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Larryk »

lilac wrote:I thought I saw a M forming on GBPUSD, it looked good on H1 and M15 too, so I put a sell on the H4 pins a little higher than 1.54. I thought I had a short at the high of the day, but then starts going higher, it feels like I bought their shit again... or not? It is falling now, so it may be right.
Anyway, right or not, they make you suffer...
This is what happens on a no news day, they have nothing to hang their shanigans onto so they just play around all day shoving price about. Nothing you can do except exit as close to BE as you can.

Larry
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pips400
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by pips400 »

Here's my beginners fox hunter statement for today. :evil:

The theory is one thing, but when you're in the driving seat actually trading it's easy to get lost. To be honest, I'm not sure I got this right at all, even though the results are good with a 7% return today, I got really tied up hedging positions then trying to get back out of. It's seems waiting for things like the good old confirmation candle just doesn't work, my first trade was a short on NZDUSD after a candle close, then of course it went back up to pin highs and kept me in DD for hours. Every other trade I tried to get right in the top (or bottom of pins) sometimes market order, sometimes a limit order. Have you ever noticed how hard it is to place a market order right at the edge? e.g. previous pin high, then later bullish candle and you have to play it short, just goes against my pre-conditioned mind but I know it works, because that's what I did today. So the strategy that seems to work for me so far is get it right at the top or bottom of the pins, then hope it doesn't keep going but returns back down (up) again. At the end of the day, you just don't know what price is going to do in each individual case, that's why it's not about one trade but the edge the technique will give you. So that was the easy bit, the difficult thing that really messed with my head today was what to do when price moves past the pin high/low and you get into drawdown. I tried a couple of things when this happened. One was a stop loss - didn't like that one much because I got taken out a couple of times, only for price to go back in my favour, I also tried keeping the first trade open, then adding a second same direction when the first was already is DD. e.g. first trade goes 20 pips DD, price seems to hang, so open another trade same direction - again this goes against my preconditioned mind, but seemed to work pretty good, some instances repeated the process three or even four times. The third option when initial trade goes into DD was to open a hedge trade, this worked okay also, but complicate things a whole lot. So I think this is a key part of the strategy, what to do when the first trade goes into DD, I know xrismak carried the USDCHF for weeks and eventually it came good. I guess I'll try all this again Monday and see what works best for me. It may still be easiest just to close the trade and open another at the new level - any ideas?

Have a great weekend everyone

Pips400
Fox Hunting 1 26 July 2013.JPG
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zentauro67
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by zentauro67 »

My first week as student of fox hunting tricks. 5% up in manual. But what keeps more excited is intraday insights about stop huntings and the real fox intents. Mastering the fox intents gives also an awsome edge to run robots and EAs, choosing the right EA at the exact time. Of course, this is out of topic here, but yesterday I had a modest insight about that and it worked great. Too soon to know if it was by chance or if there is a reliable basis behind. Anyway, thanks to CJ and all the folks here for sharing so valuable thoughts.
hamburglar
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by hamburglar »

Hey Guys, Just looking at the eurjpy....what do you think start of the down moves?

Jim
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