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| 10.4 A Complete System https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=1481 |
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| Author: | nicoacademia [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
80 pip spike down snap dragon on GBPJPY. |
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| Author: | Chris [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
Damn, I set my pending last night before I went to bed and now woke up to not a pretty sight. Oh well there is always next week. Could have saved my self If I could have been up to baby sit the positions. |
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| Author: | nicoacademia [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
remember the DXY chart i posted. DXY now has the momentum to continue. big NFP miss. insane below low estimate even. but point is there's a news headline to tag with the price move. its not so much the news but is it big enough to tag with the price move. |
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| Author: | cmeade2 [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System Filter Trades |
Bob I saw all of the potential 10.4 setups noted by you and others. From my perspective, some of them hit suitable entry points last night, but I didn't take them because of the NFP. Anyway, almost all of the possible 10.4 trades are way under water now, after the data. That said, my question to you is what were your pending order points for these trades (and why weren't you in already as Chris was above)? Thanks cmeade2
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| Author: | slowkey [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 12:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
Well NFP was the biggest miss since Dec 2009. They totally got this one wrong. Canada got hit with bad numbers too. The EUR seems to be hanging around the 1.3000. Only got out of the EURUSD and will see if it moves back below the 240. All my other trades should weather this fine. |
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| Author: | Jonathan2FI [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 1:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System Filter Trades |
Bob, Thanks for the detailed reply including philosophy ..I believe I get it. Stop looking for more filters and use as is 240, RSI - yes if there are "compelling reasons" from fundamental trading logic not to take the trade then don't, otherwise trust that the wins will be more than the losses and the SLs give the trade enough breathing space - small lots and money management. Plus review and regular skilled intervention that may include killing trades before SLs. And if you make 5 % at begining of week and give back 1 or 2 % at end of week don't look for filters to eliminate all end of week trades either accept the ups and downs or get out at your target weekly profit or don't trade at all. Again I appreciate the system and the coaching to all...like most students.... some occasionally need telling more than once. Jonathan |
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| Author: | cmeade2 [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
OK here's a good example of one of the bombed out 10.4 trades from this morning. For the EurAud the RSI(2) was pretty flat and very high. Then the price came down through the WMR1 and touched the MA 5 shift 1. In previous weeks, this would have been a great entry for a short, but obviously not today. Is the fact that the price is above the WP a warning sign? That is no entry until you cross below the WP. Thanks cmeade2 |
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| Author: | cmeade2 [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 1:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
OK here's another good example (EurNzd). The primary difference here however is that the price is below the WP and there seem to be good entries, which obviously didn't work out. What's the right way to read this chart cmeade2 |
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| Author: | nicoacademia [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 1:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
something fishy at these highs GBPJPY EURJPY. |
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| Author: | TraderDesk [ Fri Apr 05, 2013 2:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 10.4 A Complete System |
Hi cmeade2, In my case I had the EUR/NZD setup shown as a sell. I had a sellstop at around 1.5259 IF price action went back down. I also opened one in the morning near the WP but I had a hard stop a bit higher then that. You could also had a S/L at the 240ma as well but in these conditions I decided to be at the action and close out quickly if needed which I did... I don't trade 10.4 with specific rules in granite but more as a guideline and use my trading experience to pull the trigger... In 10.4 I do respect the 240ma very much and I also like the STO indi (other traders use the RSI or both)... But that is me and my interpretation of 10.4... |
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