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Price Predictions and Probabilities
https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=3880		 Page 4 of 9
Author:  sirius778 [ Thu Nov 27, 2014 3:37 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
Lowphat » Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:17 am wrote:heres an indicator that can help you spot areas simular to the above calls. plus it has a kicksass donchian which can also help you find price recurring price targets.

also if you add sam seiden's methods on top of this you get something very interesting
Lowphat, excellent indicator. Please, you can give an a version with alert for red/green arrows?
Author:  sirius778 [ Thu Nov 27, 2014 4:09 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
kprsa » Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:56 am wrote:
Lowphat » Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:17 am wrote:heres an indicator that can help you spot areas simular to the above calls. plus it has a kicksass donchian which can also help you find price recurring price targets.

also if you add sam seiden's methods on top of this you get something very interesting
hi all, my first post here!
i coded the RecurrenceStatistic indy that lowphat posted here (he was kind to ask for my permission before posting).
if there would be further ideas or questions regarding it, let me know.
cheers
k
Kprsa, the RecurrenceStatistic indicator is excellent. Please, you can give a a version with alert for red/green arrows?

p.s.I apologize for the previous post. I did not notice that the indicator was coded by krsa
Author:  Lowphat [ Fri Nov 28, 2014 9:20 am ]
Post subject:  price predictions
I attempted to add an alert for confirmed fractals to kprsa's indy but it will miss a few if the h left and right are not the same
this alert may not even function correctly but when i get more time ill look into it

sirius778 wrote:
kprsa » Thu Nov 20, 2014 7:56 am wrote:

hi all, my first post here!
i coded the RecurrenceStatistic indy that lowphat posted here (he was kind to ask for my permission before posting).
if there would be further ideas or questions regarding it, let me know.
cheers
k
Kprsa, the RecurrenceStatistic indicator is excellent. Please, you can give a a version with alert for red/green arrows?

p.s.I apologize for the previous post. I did not notice that the indicator was coded by krsa
edit: file removed as it needs to really be done better.
Author:  Thx [ Sun Nov 30, 2014 5:57 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
Hello Traders,

Can anyone here confirm this stats,
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread. ... ost7904030
whether its accurate or not ?
I've tried manual backtest, but the result seems different ...

Thanks a Lot ... :)
Author:  Lowphat [ Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:00 am ]
Post subject:  price predictions
Thx » Sun Nov 30, 2014 12:57 pm wrote:Hello Traders,

Can anyone here confirm this stats,
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread. ... ost7904030
whether its accurate or not ?
I've tried manual backtest, but the result seems different ...

Thanks a Lot ... :)
Jayzon is working on emulating his technique in Empty4 pragmatically. If we get it working and we and achieve anything close to these percents I will confirm it then. also his stats may not show how long it took for price to hit the second ptz

here is another post from someone else kind of saying the same thing about the tz pattern searching
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread. ... ost7904671
Author:  Thx [ Mon Dec 01, 2014 2:48 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
Lowphat » Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:00 am wrote:
Jayzon is working on emulating his technique in Empty4 pragmatically. If we get it working and we and achieve anything close to these percents I will confirm it then. also his stats may not show how long it took for price to hit the second ptz

here is another post from someone else kind of saying the same thing about the tz pattern searching
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread. ... ost7904671
Thanks a Lot friend :smile: ...
Author:  simplex [ Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:09 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
kprsa » 20 Nov 2014, 09:56 wrote:hi all, my first post here!
i coded the RecurrenceStatistic indy
Hi kprsa,

really nice to find you here! I experimented a lot with your RecurrenceStatistic indi last weekend, and at last things seem to become clearer. Might come up with some questions later!

After feeling more than just a bit repelled by one of those wars with people giving each other names, becoming banned, etc in the FF Similarity thread I'm happy one of the real contributors to the item (you) has found his way to SHF. Hope very much you'll stay! :)

Taking this war aside: I still believe that this whole recurrence vs. transient probability analysis has a huge potential when used properly and integrated as a supporting method in sound strategies.

Still sorting things out, though. There's more to come, I believe.

Jürgen
Author:  Lowphat [ Mon Dec 01, 2014 3:32 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
this was a post by PiratePip in relation to the stats.
Some levels to keep our eyes on this week:


GBPUSD - 1.58232* - 99.817148% probability starting next week if conditions remain. If conditions do remain level should be reached within the first 48 hours of the market being open.
EURUSD - 1.23570* - 99.909918% probability in next 52 hours.
USDCHF - .97257* - 99.89438% probability in next 52 hours.
NZDJPY - 93.647* - 99.9076% probability in next 40 hours.
GBPCHF - 1.52299* - 99.92898% probability in next 112 hours.
CADCHF - .86557* - 98.8572% probability in next 52 hours.



and here are some fun pics
it will reach my target before the red line. finding a target can be easy
(easy being relative) and then can you figure out exactly when your target will get hit
Author:  Lowphat [ Tue Dec 02, 2014 1:28 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
didn't get a confirm yet
edit: I'm thinking this should be good for 10-13 bars
edit: adding 2nd pic
edit: HG arrow appeard so i closed just incase.
Author:  Jayzon [ Tue Dec 02, 2014 5:32 pm ]
Post subject:  price predictions
Thx » Mon Dec 01, 2014 8:48 am wrote:
Lowphat » Mon Dec 01, 2014 9:00 am wrote:
Jayzon is working on emulating his technique in Empty4 pragmatically. If we get it working and we and achieve anything close to these percents I will confirm it then. also his stats may not show how long it took for price to hit the second ptz

here is another post from someone else kind of saying the same thing about the tz pattern searching
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread. ... ost7904671
Thanks a Lot friend :smile: ...
While working on some fundamental parts of TZ Zones, me and Lowphat noticed that we can see the market sort of 3D like. As shown in the attached image, I believe that when the bottom changes from red to green or vice versa, half of the green and red together is basically a TZ Zone. From here if that is correct, I will be running some pattern calculations on the indicator I'm working on.
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