jahill wrote:Ahem...
I respectfully disagree with the notion that the entries need to be tweaked with regard to the Shelley EA/strategy. Before you flame me, just hear me out. (I hope Shelley wouldn't mind pitching her two cents in on this, as she has observed the market behavior as it relates to this far longer than I have.)
That said...
We are trading at the beginning of each session when volume, liquidity and hence, movement is at it's peak, right? The idea is, we are scalping... yes, SCALPING... across many pairs that are in a strong trend, trying to accumulate many pips whilst only shooting for a few on a per pair basis. Thus, I'm not sure we need an optimal entry, as has been suggested. In the past 6 sessions, 2 of each, I have lost just this past London session... That is Phenomenal! Consider the issue of "drawdown" for a moment... I am shooting for the same basket TP as I am risking basket SL... so, to have over an 80% winrate for the past two days is quite remarkable, no matter how you slice it!
Also, as Caillou pointed out in a previous post, if you wait for a retracement, you may miss the boat (profits) for XYZ Session altogether! I know that based on what I've observed, only the most recent London session had said retracement, and so I lost the basket. However, the other 5 sessions that I did bank, didn't have much of a retracement to speak of if any at all... So... in theory at least, with the retracement logic in place, I would be 1-0, whereas I am actually 5-1 without it. See the difference? Losses are INEVITABLE! Why try to fight that and try to make a system that is impervious to losses, since it is IMPOSSIBLE anyway?
Now, I can offer two tidbits that will improve the system, in my opinion... First, I would like to humbly suggest a setting that closes the basket at an expiry, ONLY IF THE BASKET IS IN DRAWDOWN, as opposed to only when it is in profit... Why you ask? Well, simple... Every single winning basket I have had has closed in under 3 hours... but, I would rather let those RUN! On the contrary, if I am sitting in DD after 3 hours, I would rather just close up shop and wait until the next session to try again... Thus, I am limiting my exposure (and losses) when the basket goes against my favor, but I am maximizing my profit when the basket shoots off in my favor, and besides, I'm covered by my jumping stops, breakeven, etc. in the "good" scenario anyway...
Second... And I have suggested this previously, but it seems to go ignored or unnoticed... I think that if we could have a Percentage Risk setting Per Basket, or a Dollar Value per Basket risk setting, this would afford us the opportunity to risk the same amount of money on each basket, regardless of the number of currencies we are trading for each basket... This would help significantly in my opinion to maximize the profit potential.
Ok, there's my .02... Now lead me to the slaughter...
