stevehopwoodforex.com
https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/
Print view

The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff
https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?t=1572
Page 60 of 1600
Author:  swisscheese [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

swisscheese wrote:USDCAD short

This Pair is in a thin Range, so the Risk for this Short is ok.
Edi
SL to BE
Edi
Author:  Captain Jack [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

swisscheese wrote:
Captain Jack wrote:Take a look at the GBP and EUR crosses....they are all looking like NY material with many making small "M" up high on the 15M....

CJ
What is NY Material?

Edi
Price will reverse course during the NY session fairly often and it's Friday....look for the reversals then around 2-5Pm est, for price to range...

CJ
Author:  Captain Jack [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

swisscheese wrote:
lhDT wrote:I see "M" everywhere on EURNZD ... I added at the top.
Tempted to close both for BE but H1 look pretty bearish with all those pins !
Long closed with 20 Pips.
Edi
Booked with green pips Edi...way to go... :mrgreen:

CJ
Author:  lhDT [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Captain Jack wrote:
I may not be able to give you a good answer Lio .... on the 15M time frame, 50 pips for TP1 s reasonable, with more probable. If you look at the AUDCAD trade I just closed, I took around 60 pips and got it from the "M" top to support....that's almost all from the day hi to the day lo....

I handle risk totally different than everybody. To me, risk comes into play when your trade is a loser, going to SL. You have to have so many winners to losers at a certain risk to make money. I have been able to hit 80% and higher on my trades....

When I take large lot trades like that, it's usually scalping 10 pips or less....at $10.00/pip, 10 pips and 20 lots is a nice trade....

When I'm pyramiding orders, the lots add up as well. I may have 10-20 orders on the same pair, totaling 10 lots or more....

I don't really think about it and I don't worry about it. When I enter a trade, I expect it to be a winner.

Again, you can figure your risk the standard way....it's how you trade. Nothing wrong at all with it. It's what works for a lot of people.

You can do it the same way if you don't set the hard stop.... use 50 pips for target, your mental stop, which should be 10-15 pips if your get good entry, this includes your spread, and figure it the way you always do. You still need the discipline to close the trade if it hits negative float....but you have the option not to do so if it's just the dealer spreading price and printing a pin bar that goes a little past....

I'll scare the crap out of you if you see what I do...calculate my lot size? It's more like, how much margin is left and where can I lay it out.... :D

CJ
Thank for taking time answer. A 50 tp for M15 is already a good clue.
In fact If I understand this well, we need to threat this (at least for m15) as pure scalp. Higher risk, locking or exiting at the first sign of weakness ?
Author:  Captain Jack [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

lhDT wrote:CJ I got a couple of question, not for setups but for the rest. Hope you will find a couple of minutes to answer.

Targets, stops & MM :
I know you don't set a true SL but use a mental stop, like if the price goes higher than that I close or if that bar looks hell bearish I close my long with a small loss.
So, how you setup your risk ? Based on a hard stop ? How you can calculate your lot size. I saw in your statement you took 5 or 10 lots trades. I calculated my lot size based on my entry & SL but without SL it's a bit hard.
Also for TP levels, you close when you think the move is over. What kind of profit you got on M15 ? Size of the previous swing ? Fixed TP ?

I'm a bit 100% lost on that part. (and about 50% ok on setup :))

Thanks !
If you ride price one way as I did with AUDCAD, you can usually count on 50% of the move on the retrace back and into range again.... that way the fibo levels are validated....

The 3 levels or rise or drop will also create the support resistance areas that people are familiar with....

CJ
Author:  Reaper [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Whats going on with EURCHF right now? I thought there was going to be a corrective move up to around the daily high. Is that idea right, and still in play?
Author:  Captain Jack [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

lhDT wrote:
Captain Jack wrote:
I may not be able to give you a good answer Lio .... on the 15M time frame, 50 pips for TP1 s reasonable, with more probable. If you look at the AUDCAD trade I just closed, I took around 60 pips and got it from the "M" top to support....that's almost all from the day hi to the day lo....

I handle risk totally different than everybody. To me, risk comes into play when your trade is a loser, going to SL. You have to have so many winners to losers at a certain risk to make money. I have been able to hit 80% and higher on my trades....

When I take large lot trades like that, it's usually scalping 10 pips or less....at $10.00/pip, 10 pips and 20 lots is a nice trade....

When I'm pyramiding orders, the lots add up as well. I may have 10-20 orders on the same pair, totaling 10 lots or more....

I don't really think about it and I don't worry about it. When I enter a trade, I expect it to be a winner.

Again, you can figure your risk the standard way....it's how you trade. Nothing wrong at all with it. It's what works for a lot of people.

You can do it the same way if you don't set the hard stop.... use 50 pips for target, your mental stop, which should be 10-15 pips if your get good entry, this includes your spread, and figure it the way you always do. You still need the discipline to close the trade if it hits negative float....but you have the option not to do so if it's just the dealer spreading price and printing a pin bar that goes a little past....

I'll scare the crap out of you if you see what I do...calculate my lot size? It's more like, how much margin is left and where can I lay it out.... :D

CJ
Thank for taking time answer. A 50 tp for M15 is already a good clue.
In fact If I understand this well, we need to threat this (at least for m15) as pure scalp. Higher risk, locking or exiting at the first sign of weakness ?
The TP areas and turning points are relative to the level of the rise or fall....you also have the 3 push rise or fall in price on a daily basis to use as clues....the other things we talk about, reversal RRT's, "W" and "M"'s which give 2 chances for exit....lots of different clues....

The 50 pips is a conservative TP.....consider the ADR range for the pair as well....are you in at the high or low ADR or the HOD/LOD....things like that will make a difference.

CJ
Author:  Captain Jack [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Angat wrote:Whats going on with EURCHF right now? I thought there was going to be a corrective move up to around the daily high. Is that idea right, and still in play?
There's almost 9hrs left for the next moves...

CJ
Author:  BritShrtHair [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Guys, you are going fast!

EJ, M15, stophunt going on, M in the making ?
Author:  Reaper [ Fri Mar 15, 2013 12:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

GBPJPY M pattern. 15mins
All times are UTC Page 60 of 1600