The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by **seanyd** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 12:03 pm

seanyd » Wed Jan 14, 2015 12:27 pm wrote:Now short GN

Good luck all

A day early should waited for the fib

Some stop hunt as well

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Piter80 · Post by **Piter80** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 12:32 pm

Dudest what' s Black swan?
I thinking about protecting ourselves in days like this.Thanks Dadest I know sl don't change nothing.Only MM.

Post by **Dagu** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 1:08 pm

Resoult of this shit
One account is -100%
other one is +1000%
no comment

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Post by **Dagu** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 3:35 pm

Hi all
I hope you guys are OK after this mess ; D
Don't worry there is always another trade ; )
Best regards

PW. I dont wana know how many accounts have been wipeout after this &&&&&&&&

Piter80 · Post by **Piter80** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 4:14 pm

Thank's god I don't sell chf today.
Only 40% account gone.No big deal.It's very small training account.
That's very good week for me.Only one mistake.To many pending orders.

Still some S position open on audcad so loss can be bigger.
Dagger thanks for show me that pattern:)

Today was very bad day.Thank's god it's no more caps

dudest · Post by **dudest** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 5:05 pm

Piter80 » Thu Jan 15, 2015 3:32 pm wrote:Dudest what' s Black swan?
I thinking about protecting ourselves in days like this.Thanks Dadest I know sl don't change nothing.Only MM.

Best answer I can give is by shamelessly copying Wikipedia's summary of it

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory

Black swan events were introduced by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2001 book Fooled By Randomness, which concerned financial events.

The 3 main characteristics of a black swan event:

1. The event is a surprise (to the observer).
2. The event has a major effect.
3. After the first recorded instance of the event, it is rationalized by hindsight, as if it could have been expected...

The point:

The main idea in Taleb's book is not to attempt to predict black swan events, but to build robustness against negative ones that occur and be able to exploit positive ones.
Taleb contends that banks and trading firms are very vulnerable to hazardous black swan events and are exposed to unpredictable losses

Captain Jack · Post by **Captain Jack** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 6:44 pm

Glad to see some of you guys are really starting to "get it" and are "seeing" clearly. Would you have arrived at this point sooner had I been posting every day?

I don't think so....

A blast from the past... almost 3 years back that this appeared on FF...

Is price random? NOT AT ALL! If you believe anything different, this thread is not for you because you've effectively blinded yourself and will never "see" the truth...

Piter80 · Post by **Piter80** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 7:30 pm

Hi CJ
I can understand prediction price for next hour,or few.But prediction price for few years.It's magic

Piter80 · Post by **Piter80** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 7:59 pm

daggerfall » Tue Jan 13, 2015 2:59 pm wrote:
Piter80 » Tue Jan 13, 2015 2:12 pm wrote:Thank You.
Could You tell me what pattern You see on gbpjpy?I can't see nothing there?

It's a small CZ zone what means consolidation zone, it's one of my favourite patterns ; )
CZ zones are easiest to spot for me that why i like them

CZ zone is the place where fox are bulding their positions or offload them or both
Bigger CZ mean biger blast, with CJ's knowledge of reapatings patterns you can predict in what direction they will trigger

BUT it deasn't matter
Everything what you se on m15/h1/h4/d1/w1/m1 is result of patterns from smaler TFs
Best pattern means this one which one you can recognise with bigest certanity

I hope I helped you a bit ; )
Best regards

After that Daggerfalls post I start to search.And I find that.I don't know I'm right or not,but thats working for me for now.

USDCADM5 pattern.png

GBPJPYH4pattern.png

Post by **Dagu** » Thu Jan 15, 2015 8:09 pm

Captain Jack » Thu Jan 15, 2015 6:44 pm wrote:Glad to see some of you guys are really starting to "get it" and are "seeing" clearly. Would you have arrived at this point sooner had I been posting every day?

I don't think so....

A blast from the past... almost 3 years back that this appeared on FF...

Is price random? NOT AT ALL! If you believe anything different, this thread is not for you because you've effectively blinded yourself and will never "see" the truth...

Hello CJ
Glad to see you again and thank you for everything

Could I ask you a question ?
Whats happend ?
Was that a part of plan ? I mean all this move on CHF
I saw pattern on m15, everything was clear for me and foxes was folowing the plan but suddenly everything collapsed
I didn't see any sign predicting such a move

Maybe i should make my own map for CHF like you did with EUR/USD, maybe i find some clues there

best regards