Right now just a bunch of hype. It is like trying to pic tops and bottoms of a move. QE3 is buying mortgages to support the real estate industry. The money is not in circulation. It is meant to get the real estate-construction industry back on its feet. That will lower unemployment and settle real estate prices. It is beginning to work so I think it is a good plan. When real estate prices rebound the govt. can sell back the mortgages on the open market over many years and get some if not all its money back. If it applies the sales to the deficit then the money never hits the economy and you wont get inflation from QE3. If it plugs the money back into govt. spending then you will have some serious inflation. I support the concept if we pay down the deficit when the money comes back in, it is a bad concept if the returning money is plowed into spending. I give you one guess what the politicians will do with the money.peranders wrote:What are your take on the so called tapering BOB?
It is obviously something that will affect USD denominated pairs a lot if it happens in september.
Basically the govt. is the only institution that can sit on a pile of bad mortgages over a period of years and wait for the market to catch up to over inflated housing housing prices. No bank or loan company can do that and remain profitable. The govt. can take a 30% write off by letting long term inflation make up the difference. Plus we tax payers can pay the bill over long term. Our WW2 debt took about 40-50 years to pay off. So I understand the concept of what they are trying to do but have no confidence in politicians to stick to a plan that takes 30 years to pay off.
Back to your question, it is just a bunch of hype and will give traders an excuse to make the market jump all over the place for a couple of days.