10.7 CSS

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rizla101
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Post by rizla101 »

Leslie » Wed Dec 10, 2014 5:39 pm wrote:I'm trying to incorporate this marvelous indicator with HGI, but having nooby technical difficulties. Perhaps incorrectly, I placed the indicator as a window on a chart and shoved the actual chart info all the way up to make the window the predominant part of the screen - assuming that's how you get a 'black screen'. How do I get the CSS indicator to move left so I can read the text part of the indicator, as I see it on all the screens shown in this thread. When I drag things left from the bottom of the chart it all squishes up and when I resize it to make it decipherable it jumps back to the right edge. Any assistance greatly appreciated. Thanks.

Click the chart shift button on the tool bar.
Leslie
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Post by Leslie »

rizla101 » Wed Dec 10, 2014 1:05 pm wrote:
Leslie » Wed Dec 10, 2014 5:39 pm wrote:I'm trying to incorporate this marvelous indicator with HGI, but having nooby technical difficulties. Perhaps incorrectly, I placed the indicator as a window on a chart and shoved the actual chart info all the way up to make the window the predominant part of the screen - assuming that's how you get a 'black screen'. How do I get the CSS indicator to move left so I can read the text part of the indicator, as I see it on all the screens shown in this thread. When I drag things left from the bottom of the chart it all squishes up and when I resize it to make it decipherable it jumps back to the right edge. Any assistance greatly appreciated. Thanks.

Click the chart shift button on the tool bar.
So simple- just didn't know about it. Thanks much!
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nanningbob
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Post by nanningbob »

SO HOW DID I DO

Now Nanningbob's wild guesses for 2014. What I will be looking for this year and the 1st quarter.

The SURE thing.
Sell JPY and dont bother buying it. The last two months Emperor K has emphasized depreciating the yen was coming back to being a high priority. It worked well during the first half of the year but has stalled some since. They wish for it to continue and will push harder to make it come true. Look for your best entrances and take the ride. The best pairs to trade will be the usd/jpy, gbp/jpy, nzd/jpy, others maybe more iffy see euro notes below.

Got this one right. Well for the last 2 months anyway. Basically every JPY pair was ranging for the year until BOJ and Emperor K decided to boost it down at the end of the year.


Others

USD will strengthen as long as the economy keeps improving and the govt winds down QE3. Look for solid buy opportunities as they come. It will be a bumpy ride because our democratic insitutions are deeply divided over which direction to take. Continued fighting between Dems and Republicans and conservatives with conservatives will make it jump up and down. But overall you should see appreciation over the long term.

You had to wait until summer before the strengthening kicked in but the USD took off as predicted. Some really nice runs the last half of the year


GBP is being predicted by some to appreciate this year but I personally feel the Brits like its position in the market and will stay in its range. Having said that the strongest moves to strengthen will be the gbp/jpy. I expect the gbp/usd, gbp/nzd to continue to range. gbp/chf should weaken but many of you know I hate that pair and dont like to trade it. I dont know how much more it will gain gbp/aud, gbp/cad. Both are outside the norms of the last several years. I dont trade the eur/gbp but it is similar to gbp/chf so I expect the gbp to strengthen against both of them.

This one also was fairly accurate. GBP had some nice runs during the year both up and down and stayed inside its range. The one major exception was the gbp/usd which trended up and then trended down strongly for the year.

AUD will depend on whether China will continue its massive buying of its commodities especially in the mining area. As China's growth rate has decreased (this is normal economic activity) to its new levels, where ever it settle will go a long way to determine how far the AUD will fall. If you see Asia economic activity decrease you will see the AUD go down. If Asian economic activity increases it will go up.

As China's growth slowed down so did the price of the AUD. It slowly went down as the year went by and the slowdown increased with the oil fuss at the end of the year.

NZD follows the AUD almost all the time but I have noticed an occasional decoupling. I believe this is caused by NZD exports are more into dairy, sheep, cattle, etc. They take a lesser hit during economic downturns. People still buy food and clothes. So NZD pairs may hold their value better is the AUD takes more of a dive. News reports have the NZD possibly raising their interest rates which would increase NZD value and AUD decreasing its rates which would decrease its value. These are the stories you look for.

NZD also depreciated but was more volatile than the AUD especially against the USD. The maxim of what the AUD does so goes NZD was pretty much true for most of the year. It is one of my favorite trading techniques. Watch the AUD and trade the NZD.

CAD follows USD more or less. USD economy does good CAD economy does good. Another currency that drives me nuts at time. Not as bad as the CHF though.

The CAD was the one I plain got wrong. It pretty much depreciated across the board and I got caught several times this year being on the wrong side. So bad in my analysis on that one.

At some point in the future the RMB will become trade-able and will increase its influence on the market. This is to be expected from a country that has the world's 2nd largest economy. There is a lot of "WHOA is US/THEM" writing on the internet about China but they are entering the world stage so deal with it. I do not consider it evil or good. It is what it is and their influence will increase. On the other hand they just past Mexico as far as being exchanged on the world markets so they have a long ways to go. When I can transfer USD and RMB freely in and out of the country then they have entered the world markets. Until then they are just a lot of noise.

RMB lots of noise and promise of more free floating. Somewhat true but still for the world's 2nd largest economy it is still not traded freely enough to be considered a world currency. I dont know if China with its present govt. will ever really let it free float but it is out there and can be a major player at times.
I trade http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3964,
I talk about my philosophy of trading here.
http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3627
"The key to converting something useful to others is simplicity. Complexity is the enemy to execution." Tony Robbins
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nanningbob
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Post by nanningbob »

Now the eur and chf. As long as the SNB keeps tied to the EURO they are basically one and the same. Watch out if SNB decides to decouple if the things go really bad. However, I am not in the camp of worse case scenario at least not yet. The Europeans have been around the block over the centuries and they can take a hit quite well and they scramble well. However, there are some serious warning signs.
As I posted earlier France now can tax its richest citizens at a 75% tax rate if you make over 1 million a year. Desperate times make for desperate measures. In the USA if we ever passed a 75% tax rate it would probably cause a civil war. As John Maudin has pointed out in several letters that France's banking system is way over committed in loans to sovereign debt to many countries, there will be a time when these will come home to cause some real trouble. That time could be early 2014. The oldest bank in Europe located in Italy is about to be nationalized because it is insolvent. It seems to be time for another EURO debt crisis again. This has to come because the last two times they kicked the can down the road and the they have reached the can again. The first time the completely redid Greek loans and wrote off some of it. The second time they took some of the Cyprus gold and depositor's money. This time they will .................. well France passed a 75% income tax, they lowered their interest rate (and the EURO went up). I suspect the downward pressure on the EURO will start in Jan but it may not. The EURO scrambles very well. Anyway when it starts to dive, jump on in and enjoy the ride. Who knows they may come up with a solution (??? really ??) at least good enough to calm the markets. I will be looking for sell opportunities when they happen. The end of the year spike maybe the top and its down from there. That is my suspicion but we will see. I will be curious to see which pair will depreciate more the euro or the jpy early in 2014. I have no idea which one will win. My best guess will be the JPY. If they are equal then the eur/jpy and cfh/jpy will range and probably be very volatile. eur/usd, eur/gbp, eur/cad, eur/nzd should go down. eur/aud, I have no idea, depends if the AUD keeps going down or not. If it stops then sell the eur/aud also.

Euro was difficult to trade this year except for when it finally dropped against the USD. It would range then drop but recover. I had a tough year trading it. It didnt dive as much as I expected it with the eur/usd being the exception. So this prediction was kind of a wash.
I trade http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3964,
I talk about my philosophy of trading here.
http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3627
"The key to converting something useful to others is simplicity. Complexity is the enemy to execution." Tony Robbins
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nanningbob
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Post by nanningbob »

NANNINGBOB'S FEARLESS PREDICTIONS FOR 2015

YUCK! I really dont want to predict the following year. I learned something new as milk was a major driver of the price of NZD and oil can be the big white elephant in the room. I also did not do well in predicting the effects of elections on currencies as the Scotland referendum moved the GBP up and down far more than I thought it could. Well here goes.

First the easy stuff.

JPY will continue to decline especially early in the year as Emperor K pushes further YEN depreciation. The problem is Asians run to the YEN for safety everytime China's economy growth slows down. I suspect that battle will continue through 2015. Still everytime I see YEN appreciate I will look for sells throughout the year. I have done well the last 2 years with this strategy and see no reason to change it. If Emperor K gets thrown out of office then I will change my strategy but as long as he is in there its Depreciate the YEN time.

USD will continue to do well. As the economy continues to improve so will the dollar stay towards the strong side. USA is kind of in a no-lose situation right now. Cheap oil makes the economy grow and higher prices helps the economy grow. Either way I see the USA economy to continue its upwards climb out of the 2008 mess. Of course there will be the usual ups and downs but long term I expect the USD to be the strongest currency for most of the year.

Now to go where others fear to tread.

Eur/Chf Chf will continue its policy for being tied to the Euro through 2015 so they are basically one and the same. The Euro dove strongly against the dollar and now its how low will it go. Dang if I know. It is at its lows from 2005, 2008, 2010, 2012, and now 2014. I see a pattern here of every two years go to its low and recover. Now that would be a bold prediction to claim that the euro has hit bottom and will recover. Only one problem, the Greeks are back. They have run out of money to borrow once again and are also having elections. No more money will be given them unless they agree to stay with austerity but that group of may not stay in power. They could elect a group that will leave the Euro and say screw you to the existing loans. Obviously that will cause all sorts of havoc. So we are on the Greek watch again, should be fun.

The question is, is there a scenario in which the euro could rise? HMMMMMM Oil is down, USA economy buys cheaper euro goods, vacations to Europe are cheaper, Asians and Americans come and visit, Russia pulls in its fangs, France and Germany economies recover .................., economy picks up, yeah right. I expect the EURO to be difficult to trade and be all over the board from a fundamental viewpoint. They will ease, they wont ease, they will ease, they wont ease. Those of you living in Euro land I wish you well.

GBP If they can stay out of the Euro upheaval they could improve but its going to be difficult. They take my 2nd position as the currency that could appreciate more than depreciate over the year. However, if the euro tanks it will drag the gbp with it. How much? I dont know, but it cant fully escape what goes on the mainland. If the euro can range and handle its issues or even have economic recovery then GBP definitely will appreciate.

AUD, NZD, CAD....Now the commodity currencies. I had these well pegged until the milk and oil thing. Oil prices stay low and these will struggle. I will continue to follow my theory of where the AUD goes the NZD will follow. If the AUD goes up I will buy NZD and if the AUD goes down I will sell the NZD. I dont like trading the CAD that much but if the USD strengthens then I would also sell the eur/cad and gbp/cad and look to buy the cad/jpy and usd/cad.

After tightening the credit reigns in China for most of 2014, the Banks there have loosened the reigns for the beginning of 2015. I expect this to be AUD positive and I think oil has bottomed out and will slowly go up closer to 80 dollar barrel range later in 2015. This will place the AUD and then the NZD back into some appreciation against most currencies except the USD.

So that is it, last year was much easier to predict. Lets see how it goes.
I trade http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3964,
I talk about my philosophy of trading here.
http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3627
"The key to converting something useful to others is simplicity. Complexity is the enemy to execution." Tony Robbins
The_Snowman
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Post by The_Snowman »

Maybe not the right place to post this but as Bob is discussing all currencies for the coming year, this is an interesting set of video to watch

http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL ... zgwrq1jkUJ
J4D

10.7 CSS

Post by J4D »

nanningbob » Thu Jan 01, 2015 2:38 pm wrote:NANNINGBOB'S FEARLESS PREDICTIONS FOR 2015

YUCK! I really dont want to predict the following year. I learned something new as milk was a major driver of the price of NZD and oil can be the big white elephant in the room. I also did not do well in predicting the effects of elections on currencies as the Scotland referendum moved the GBP up and down far more than I thought it could. Well here goes.

First the easy stuff.

JPY will continue to decline especially early in the year as Emperor K pushes further YEN depreciation. The problem is Asians run to the YEN for safety everytime China's economy growth slows down. I suspect that battle will continue through 2015. Still everytime I see YEN appreciate I will look for sells throughout the year. I have done well the last 2 years with this strategy and see no reason to change it. If Emperor K gets thrown out of office then I will change my strategy but as long as he is in there its Depreciate the YEN time.

USD will continue to do well. As the economy continues to improve so will the dollar stay towards the strong side. USA is kind of in a no-lose situation right now. Cheap oil makes the economy grow and higher prices helps the economy grow. Either way I see the USA economy to continue its upwards climb out of the 2008 mess. Of course there will be the usual ups and downs but long term I expect the USD to be the strongest currency for most of the year.

Now to go where others fear to tread.

Eur/Chf Chf will continue its policy for being tied to the Euro through 2015 so they are basically one and the same. The Euro dove strongly against the dollar and now its how low will it go. Dang if I know. It is at its lows from 2005, 2008, 2010, 2012, and now 2014. I see a pattern here of every two years go to its low and recover. Now that would be a bold prediction to claim that the euro has hit bottom and will recover. Only one problem, the Greeks are back. They have run out of money to borrow once again and are also having elections. No more money will be given them unless they agree to stay with austerity but that group of may not stay in power. They could elect a group that will leave the Euro and say screw you to the existing loans. Obviously that will cause all sorts of havoc. So we are on the Greek watch again, should be fun.

The question is, is there a scenario in which the euro could rise? HMMMMMM Oil is down, USA economy buys cheaper euro goods, vacations to Europe are cheaper, Asians and Americans come and visit, Russia pulls in its fangs, France and Germany economies recover .................., economy picks up, yeah right. I expect the EURO to be difficult to trade and be all over the board from a fundamental viewpoint. They will ease, they wont ease, they will ease, they wont ease. Those of you living in Euro land I wish you well.

GBP If they can stay out of the Euro upheaval they could improve but its going to be difficult. They take my 2nd position as the currency that could appreciate more than depreciate over the year. However, if the euro tanks it will drag the gbp with it. How much? I dont know, but it cant fully escape what goes on the mainland. If the euro can range and handle its issues or even have economic recovery then GBP definitely will appreciate.

AUD, NZD, CAD....Now the commodity currencies. I had these well pegged until the milk and oil thing. Oil prices stay low and these will struggle. I will continue to follow my theory of where the AUD goes the NZD will follow. If the AUD goes up I will buy NZD and if the AUD goes down I will sell the NZD. I dont like trading the CAD that much but if the USD strengthens then I would also sell the eur/cad and gbp/cad and look to buy the cad/jpy and usd/cad.

After tightening the credit reigns in China for most of 2014, the Banks there have loosened the reigns for the beginning of 2015. I expect this to be AUD positive and I think oil has bottomed out and will slowly go up closer to 80 dollar barrel range later in 2015. This will place the AUD and then the NZD back into some appreciation against most currencies except the USD.

So that is it, last year was much easier to predict. Lets see how it goes.
Hey NB, thank you kindly for sticking your neck out giving your forward projections..

All the best for 2015..

Ja..
J4D

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Post by J4D »

The_Snowman » Fri Jan 02, 2015 5:18 am wrote:Maybe not the right place to post this but as Bob is discussing all currencies for the coming year, this is an interesting set of video to watch

http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL ... zgwrq1jkUJ

good post Snowman...thanks for posting :good:
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boldtrader
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Post by boldtrader »

J4D » Fri Jan 02, 2015 9:20 am wrote:
good post Snowman...thanks for posting :good:
Not trying to depart off the primary subject of the forum, after I wanted to offer some insight to my thoughts on the vids and their content.. If this is to be moved, I do understand.

The death of the USD has been raging since the EU got started and gold was taken off the the standard since Bretton wood's Act in '41... There has been plenty of opportunities for the USD to fail. Very simply, it has not. The world has proven it needs the USD. The vids make great entertainment.

A gold standard acts as a limit on economic growth. As an economy's ability to produce goods and services expands and grows, then so should its money supply. Because a gold standard requires that currency be supported in the commodity, then the lack of that commodity reduces the ability of that economy to produce more capital and grow. This is a great negative to any economy and it's growth. Furthermore, while many gov'ts banking system's fail due to poor decision making practices, this does not justify moving to a gold standard or using gold as a basis for currency valuation.

Free markets determine real value to a country's currency. Given a reasonable, rational capital system not constrained by a commodity standard, then you will have a market that will set it's own standard of value. We have seen this as recently as the failure of Greece and other issues with Spain, France (75% tax rate on 1 Million + income), and others. Would having gold as the basis of value have helped these economies? I don't think so. Infact, in my opinion, it would have covered up the real issues and given false valuation impressions.

We are seeing Free Markets give real value to the EURO, as there are definitely great weaknesses in their economy. However, it is all cyclic in nature as each currency will go through strong/weak cycles over time. For now, the USD is strong and as I expect, will get stronger throughout 2015. However.. there will be a period where the USD will experience strong weakness and he EURO will be the go-to currency. As the USD strengthens and the EURO weakens, if gold was being used as a basis of currency value, this would stagnate USD GDP growth and result in lower basis of expansion for the US economy.

And while the constant writing of additional monetary debt also is a great negative to ANY economy, and can destroy a banking system, the USD strength is founded on an increasingly more global perspective of financial security which does require more diligence in making qualitative decisions which affect the economy.

Economists believe that having gold as a standard would would mean that monetary policy could no longer be used to keep an economy stable.

A gold standard means that the money supply would be determined by the gold supply and hence monetary policy could no longer be used to stabilize the economy, and while this may prevent certain types of financial repression, it will limit the ability of a currency to find true value based on Free Market forces, as it would be based on the actual supply of the commodity and the ability for the various mining companies to produce. I would hate to think that our currency would be determined by a potential miner's strike.

Our banking system is not perfect. The policies may be flawed. But the supply/demand processes of natural market forces, historically, have far outweighed the pro/cons of the having a gold supply.

The world is becoming more inter-dependent of currency valuations and the monetary decisions which affect each currency. Having gold as a standard, in my opinion would destroy and inhibit that interdependence. It would become a free-for-all on the acquisition of gold.. and many countries would be hurt because they could not afford the high prices.

I could continue with many more reasons making this a great thesis for debate. But for now, I offer the above..

Continue to use CSS and you will make your own gold.

Cheers

BT
"Make Your 20, Bank Your Money... WFY II"
My Mission: Help families grow income, protect assets, erase debt, and gain financial independence.[/b]
J4D

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Post by J4D »

boldtrader » Fri Jan 02, 2015 8:14 pm wrote:
J4D » Fri Jan 02, 2015 9:20 am wrote:
good post Snowman...thanks for posting :good:
Not trying to depart off the primary subject of the forum, after I wanted to offer some insight to my thoughts on the vids and their content.. If this is to be moved, I do understand.

The death of the USD has been raging since the EU got started and gold was taken off the the standard since Bretton wood's Act in '41... There has been plenty of opportunities for the USD to fail. Very simply, it has not. The world has proven it needs the USD. The vids make great entertainment.

A gold standard acts as a limit on economic growth. As an economy's ability to produce goods and services expands and grows, then so should its money supply. Because a gold standard requires that currency be supported in the commodity, then the lack of that commodity reduces the ability of that economy to produce more capital and grow. This is a great negative to any economy and it's growth. Furthermore, while many gov'ts banking system's fail due to poor decision making practices, this does not justify moving to a gold standard or using gold as a basis for currency valuation.

Free markets determine real value to a country's currency. Given a reasonable, rational capital system not constrained by a commodity standard, then you will have a market that will set it's own standard of value. We have seen this as recently as the failure of Greece and other issues with Spain, France (75% tax rate on 1 Million + income), and others. Would having gold as the basis of value have helped these economies? I don't think so. Infact, in my opinion, it would have covered up the real issues and given false valuation impressions.

We are seeing Free Markets give real value to the EURO, as there are definitely great weaknesses in their economy. However, it is all cyclic in nature as each currency will go through strong/weak cycles over time. For now, the USD is strong and as I expect, will get stronger throughout 2015. However.. there will be a period where the USD will experience strong weakness and he EURO will be the go-to currency. As the USD strengthens and the EURO weakens, if gold was being used as a basis of currency value, this would stagnate USD GDP growth and result in lower basis of expansion for the US economy.

And while the constant writing of additional monetary debt also is a great negative to ANY economy, and can destroy a banking system, the USD strength is founded on an increasingly more global perspective of financial security which does require more diligence in making qualitative decisions which affect the economy.

Economists believe that having gold as a standard would would mean that monetary policy could no longer be used to keep an economy stable.

A gold standard means that the money supply would be determined by the gold supply and hence monetary policy could no longer be used to stabilize the economy, and while this may prevent certain types of financial repression, it will limit the ability of a currency to find true value based on Free Market forces, as it would be based on the actual supply of the commodity and the ability for the various mining companies to produce. I would hate to think that our currency would be determined by a potential miner's strike.

Our banking system is not perfect. The policies may be flawed. But the supply/demand processes of natural market forces, historically, have far outweighed the pro/cons of the having a gold supply.

The world is becoming more inter-dependent of currency valuations and the monetary decisions which affect each currency. Having gold as a standard, in my opinion would destroy and inhibit that interdependence. It would become a free-for-all on the acquisition of gold.. and many countries would be hurt because they could not afford the high prices.

I could continue with many more reasons making this a great thesis for debate. But for now, I offer the above..

Continue to use CSS and you will make your own gold.

Cheers

BT
I appreciate your views BT, as I do the views of Mike Maloney in the vids...As for myself, I'm just not qualified to a reasonable depth to make an assessment either way, but I enjoy watching/reading the views of others..

Happy New year to you and the other contributers on the forum

Thanks for the post

Ja..
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