Agree with that Caillou. I would also add - absolutely rule out pairs with all but the lowest spreads and swaps. And of course stick to realistic position sizing.Caillou wrote:Hello to everyone,
This is my first post here and I want first to thanks Steve and all other members for such a great team.
I´ve been playing with Phantom EA´s for a long time, basically a grid strategy and sooner or later, always, a "death trade" appears. It is unavoidable. But this doesn´t mean that this EA will not be profitable in the long run.
I think we need 2 conditions for making money:
1.- The "death trade" must happen as little as possible. For that we have CZ boxes and we need taking trades for the less ranging pairs. Bob has made a lot of work here. A few months ago the most ranging pairs were (in his opinion): aud/jpy, aud/nzd, aud/usd, cad/jpy, chf/jpy, eur/gbp, gbp/cad, gbp/usd, nzd,chf, nzd/jpy, usd/cad, usd/jpy. We need trending pairs here.
2.- The "death trade" must be cutted when it happens, and it will happen, sooner or later. This wonderfull EA has already an option for that: "Rangeboundtradeclosure". Mabye 10 Buys/10 Sells is the limit, or 20/20, or 5/5......who knows, that is what we have to test.
Even with a few big losses, this EA can be profitable because we need this losses, otherwise our SL is our account.
Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
-
SWG123
- Trader
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- Location: Cape Town
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
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acostafulano
- Trader
- Posts: 243
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Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
I agree with you Caillou. We can't let this thing get to a grid of 18 open trades, PA in the middle of the grid and -900 pips in DD, that's simply not realistic (at least for some of us). I'd rather take the hit before it gets that bad and start over. Besides, during all that time in DD we can get fresh baskets and make up for the occassional hit. On top of this, if we choose the pairs wisely (creme de la creme) this will be an even more rare event.Caillou wrote:Hello to everyone,
1.- The "death trade" must happen as little as possible. For that we have CZ boxes and we need taking trades for the less ranging pairs. Bob has made a lot of work here. A few months ago the most ranging pairs were (in his opinion): aud/jpy, aud/nzd, aud/usd, cad/jpy, chf/jpy, eur/gbp, gbp/cad, gbp/usd, nzd,chf, nzd/jpy, usd/cad, usd/jpy. We need trending pairs here.
2.- The "death trade" must be cutted when it happens, and it will happen, sooner or later. This wonderfull EA has already an option for that: "Rangeboundtradeclosure". Mabye 10 Buys/10 Sells is the limit, or 20/20, or 5/5......who knows, that is what we have to test.
Even with a few big losses, this EA can be profitable because we need this losses, otherwise our SL is our account.
What I feel comfortable with, for example, would be with a -250 pip per basket (or around $25 for 0.01 as I trade due to the size of my account (0.01 per 1000 USD).
For that, I was thinking of using a RangeboundTradeClosure of 10, (5 buys and 5 sells and close the grid at that point and start over), but looking at the code part of this function I noticed something:
bool IsBasketStopLossHit(int type)
/*
This is not a stop loss in the accepted sense.
This function returns true if OpenTrades + 1 would equal RangeBoundClosureTotal with an equal number
of buys and sells.
Called when a pending trade is about to fill
*/
and the code:
int half = RangeBoundClosureTotal / 2;
if (type == OP_BUY)
{
if (OpenSells < half) return (false);//Not at max yet
//Are at max, so will one more buy cause OpenTrades to = RangeBoundClosureTotal
if (OpenTrades + 1 >= RangeBoundClosureTotal) return(true);
}//if (type == OP_BUY)
I'm not sure how this works so I hope SH or some other coders can clarify this out:
Let me illustrate an example if I set RANGEBOUNDCLOSURE at 10.... A buy trade fills and then PA triggers 8 buys in a row. Imagine the TP is really high so it don't get hit and then the PA reverses all the way and starts triggering sell trades of the opposite side of the grid. My question is:
- Will this function close the basket at the 2nd sell triggered? (8+2= 10)?
or as the comment suggests
- Will the function close the basket only when "OpenTrades + 1 would equal RangeBoundClosureTotal with an equal number of buys and sells" (8+8= 16)?
The second scenario wouldn't work for me as I can't handle that much DD as a trader (I'll get too anxious
Thanks
-
Caillou
- Trader
- Posts: 48
- Joined: Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:11 pm
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
Yes, maybe a hard SL is enough.......acostafulano wrote:I agree with you Caillou. We can't let this thing get to a grid of 18 open trades, PA in the middle of the grid and -900 pips in DD, that's simply not realistic (at least for some of us). I'd rather take the hit before it gets that bad and start over. Besides, during all that time in DD we can get fresh baskets and make up for the occassional hit. On top of this, if we choose the pairs wisely (creme de la creme) this will be an even more rare event.Caillou wrote:Hello to everyone,
1.- The "death trade" must happen as little as possible. For that we have CZ boxes and we need taking trades for the less ranging pairs. Bob has made a lot of work here. A few months ago the most ranging pairs were (in his opinion): aud/jpy, aud/nzd, aud/usd, cad/jpy, chf/jpy, eur/gbp, gbp/cad, gbp/usd, nzd,chf, nzd/jpy, usd/cad, usd/jpy. We need trending pairs here.
2.- The "death trade" must be cutted when it happens, and it will happen, sooner or later. This wonderfull EA has already an option for that: "Rangeboundtradeclosure". Mabye 10 Buys/10 Sells is the limit, or 20/20, or 5/5......who knows, that is what we have to test.
Even with a few big losses, this EA can be profitable because we need this losses, otherwise our SL is our account.
What I feel comfortable with, for example, would be with a -250 pip per basket (or around $25 for 0.01 as I trade due to the size of my account (0.01 per 1000 USD).
For that, I was thinking of using a RangeboundTradeClosure of 10, (5 buys and 5 sells and close the grid at that point and start over), but looking at the code part of this function I noticed something:
bool IsBasketStopLossHit(int type)
/*
This is not a stop loss in the accepted sense.
This function returns true if OpenTrades + 1 would equal RangeBoundClosureTotal with an equal number
of buys and sells.
Called when a pending trade is about to fill
*/
and the code:
int half = RangeBoundClosureTotal / 2;
if (type == OP_BUY)
{
if (OpenSells < half) return (false);//Not at max yet
//Are at max, so will one more buy cause OpenTrades to = RangeBoundClosureTotal
if (OpenTrades + 1 >= RangeBoundClosureTotal) return(true);
}//if (type == OP_BUY)
I'm not sure how this works so I hope SH or some other coders can clarify this out:
Let me illustrate an example if I set RANGEBOUNDCLOSURE at 10.... A buy trade fills and then PA triggers 8 buys in a row. Imagine the TP is really high so it don't get hit and then the PA reverses all the way and starts triggering sell trades of the opposite side of the grid. My question is:
- Will this function close the basket at the 2nd sell triggered? (8+2= 10)?
or as the comment suggests
- Will the function close the basket only when "OpenTrades + 1 would equal RangeBoundClosureTotal with an equal number of buys and sells" (8+8= 16)?
The second scenario wouldn't work for me as I can't handle that much DD as a trader (I'll get too anxioushehe
Thanks
-
SWG123
- Trader
- Posts: 565
- Joined: Wed Nov 16, 2011 3:02 pm
- Location: Cape Town
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
I understand all that but what I meant to say (and I admit I didn't explain at all wellmantkinth wrote:Hmm hedge the hedges, but the death trade happens when its properly hedged lol... basically with Gerte when you run out of levels, and each side has the same amount of sells and buys is when your screwed hehe. Your loss will never increase but its a huge loss
Basically the worst case scenario can be calculated before starting up the grid.. Also if you reverse the grid, you are just adding to more possible losses, and not to mention the increased margin used.
I dont think there is an automatic way besides takign the loss (which Steve has programmed in already), unless you use your manual trading strategies to try to unbalance the sides and hope you can reduce the losses/or get out (aka martingaling and hoping you pick the right direction). But heck i doubt you can ever program something like into an ea which will do it automatically.
Going back to post 1, this ea can't be fully automated unless you take the hit when it happens.. its semi automatic as you need to save trades lol.
#Think about why the EA was made, and why we using Squalo's indicator... we are trading breakouts and we dont care which direction... problem happens when we have false breaks. If its a true breakout, we can lock in some profit and stop the death trade from ever happening.. its when we can't aka you enter a buy and it goes 1 pip before slamming through the sell level.. which goes for 20 pips, triggering the next level, then going all the way back past the first buy and even further hit the 1st buy level.. and back down to hit level 2 of sell, then back up.. as you add the lots and average down your positions as more levels are open the more you dig yourself into a hole
- SteveHopwood
- Owner
- Posts: 9904
- Joined: Tue Nov 15, 2011 8:43 am
- Location: Misterton - an insignificant village in England. Very pleasant to live in.
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
It makes more sense that most of what I have read here tonight, with the mindlessly stupid wittering about the 'death trade' that shows conclusively that the witterer has no idea what this bot is about.SWG123 wrote:I understand all that but what I meant to say (and I admit I didn't explain at all well) when we get to level 10 long or short, then we are probably at an extreme high or low of an extremely wide range. This is where Nanningbob followers, for example, would be looking to apply countertrend trade strategies. I am suggesting likewise - does that make more sense?
I would find if funny were I not returning from a day and a half away and having to catch up on a large number of posts and pm's. If only those here were of even a tenth of the quality of those in the Forex Robot thread. They are not. Most of them are rubbish.
So guys, not one more word about the 'death trade'. Only an idiot imagines it can happen here.
SWG, would you care to expand on your idea?
Read the effing manual, ok?
Afterprime is the official SHF broker. Read about them at https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?p=175790#p175790.
I still suffer from OCCD. Good thing, really.
Anyone here feeling generous? My paypal account is always in the market for a tiny donation. pianodoodler@hotmail.com is the account.
To see The Weekly Roundup of stuff you guys might have missed Click here
My special thanks to Thomas (tomele) for all the incredible work he does here.
Afterprime is the official SHF broker. Read about them at https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?p=175790#p175790.
I still suffer from OCCD. Good thing, really.
Anyone here feeling generous? My paypal account is always in the market for a tiny donation. pianodoodler@hotmail.com is the account.
To see The Weekly Roundup of stuff you guys might have missed Click here
My special thanks to Thomas (tomele) for all the incredible work he does here.
-
acostafulano
- Trader
- Posts: 243
- Joined: Tue Dec 06, 2011 3:40 pm
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
I don't think it's a 'death trade' per-se. Eventually, it will get into profit because of the grid nature of the EA, but still, getting caught in an open grid of for example 9 buys and 9 sells (Right in the middle that DD can be nasty) and having to wait for the price to head a massive amount of pips in either direction to finally close that basket for a little profit (20, 30 pip or whatever it is) is something I would definitely try to avoid, simply by killing it early befor it gest nasty and starting fresh with a new breakout.SteveHopwood wrote:So guys, not one more word about the 'death trade'. Only an idiot imagines it can happen here.SWG123 wrote:I understand all that but what I meant to say (and I admit I didn't explain at all well) when we get to level 10 long or short, then we are probably at an extreme high or low of an extremely wide range. This is where Nanningbob followers, for example, would be looking to apply countertrend trade strategies. I am suggesting likewise - does that make more sense?
SWG, would you care to expand on your idea?
- SteveHopwood
- Owner
- Posts: 9904
- Joined: Tue Nov 15, 2011 8:43 am
- Location: Misterton - an insignificant village in England. Very pleasant to live in.
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
Then trade lot sizes small enough that the dd does not get nasty. I am not entirely sure why people cannot see the value in doing this here. It seems so blindingly, screamingly obvious.acostafulano wrote:I don't think it's a 'death trade' per-se. Eventually, it will get into profit because of the grid nature of the EA, but still, getting caught in an open grid of for example 9 buys and 9 sells (Right in the middle that DD can be nasty) and having to wait for the price to head a massive amount of pips in either direction to finally close that basket for a little profit (20, 30 pip or whatever it is) is something I would definitely try to avoid, simply by killing it early befor it gest nasty and starting fresh with a new breakout.SteveHopwood wrote:So guys, not one more word about the 'death trade'. Only an idiot imagines it can happen here.SWG123 wrote:I understand all that but what I meant to say (and I admit I didn't explain at all well) when we get to level 10 long or short, then we are probably at an extreme high or low of an extremely wide range. This is where Nanningbob followers, for example, would be looking to apply countertrend trade strategies. I am suggesting likewise - does that make more sense?
SWG, would you care to expand on your idea?
Plus, it has been mentioned occasionally in both threads, as I recall.
So, people, get a grip on the basics and stop wittering about them.
Read the effing manual, ok?
Afterprime is the official SHF broker. Read about them at https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?p=175790#p175790.
I still suffer from OCCD. Good thing, really.
Anyone here feeling generous? My paypal account is always in the market for a tiny donation. pianodoodler@hotmail.com is the account.
To see The Weekly Roundup of stuff you guys might have missed Click here
My special thanks to Thomas (tomele) for all the incredible work he does here.
Afterprime is the official SHF broker. Read about them at https://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?p=175790#p175790.
I still suffer from OCCD. Good thing, really.
Anyone here feeling generous? My paypal account is always in the market for a tiny donation. pianodoodler@hotmail.com is the account.
To see The Weekly Roundup of stuff you guys might have missed Click here
My special thanks to Thomas (tomele) for all the incredible work he does here.
-
acostafulano
- Trader
- Posts: 243
- Joined: Tue Dec 06, 2011 3:40 pm
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
I do understand the basics of this strategy and am not wittering about them, I just find them not suitable for me in their OOTB formSteveHopwood wrote:
Plus, it has been mentioned occasionally in both threads, as I recall.
So, people, get a grip on the basics and stop wittering about them.
I just wouldn't hold a basket for 2 weeks for +51 profit as you just posted on the other Gertje thread, I'd rather take a small hit and get new entries and closures. (My live account right now is thaking me for that decision
Hey, it's just a matter of preferences and tolerance to DD and that's why the RangeBoundClosureTrades parameter you coded is customizable in the first place, right? That's what makes your EA's good: you have a million ways to trade them and adjust them to your style.
-
Caillou
- Trader
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Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
I´m really sorry Steve if I have disturbed you. I´m a guest in your home. Post deleted.SteveHopwood wrote:It makes more sense that most of what I have read here tonight, with the mindlessly stupid wittering about the 'death trade' that shows conclusively that the witterer has no idea what this bot is about.SWG123 wrote:I understand all that but what I meant to say (and I admit I didn't explain at all well) when we get to level 10 long or short, then we are probably at an extreme high or low of an extremely wide range. This is where Nanningbob followers, for example, would be looking to apply countertrend trade strategies. I am suggesting likewise - does that make more sense?
I would find if funny were I not returning from a day and a half away and having to catch up on a large number of posts and pm's. If only those here were of even a tenth of the quality of those in the Forex Robot thread. They are not. Most of them are rubbish.
So guys, not one more word about the 'death trade'. Only an idiot imagines it can happen here.
SWG, would you care to expand on your idea?
-
magft
- Trader
- Posts: 195
- Joined: Tue Nov 15, 2011 9:59 pm
- Location: East Midlands, UK
Re: Gertje plus Squalou plus Forexhard EA
An update so far, my GU trades closed though i had to do some manual intervention as i had the version that deleted lines if shutdown and restarted with trades open so when gu took a dive i missed a sell line. Overall i am over leveraged using 0.1 lots on 6 pairs with a starting balance of $1000 but that is the fun about demo you can push it. I have had a few trades missed due to insufficient funds.
The system does work and i am using the advice by FH to using long thin CZs as the BO is more likely to go the way we want it to and not retrace as much, but this system covers for that.
All in all nice work all that have been involved, a bit more testing and then i think a live run is required
Regards
Mike
The system does work and i am using the advice by FH to using long thin CZs as the BO is more likely to go the way we want it to and not retrace as much, but this system covers for that.
All in all nice work all that have been involved, a bit more testing and then i think a live run is required
Regards
Mike
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