If the D1 is >= 0.8 or <= -0.8 and we have been on an extended run, as others have mentioned there's bound to be a retrace however that doesn't mean that the trend is over. We just have to pick our spots and enter on a deeper retrace.nanningbob wrote:When price goes way out like that you will see a battle bewteen the bears and bulls before a reversal. This causes the slope to come back to its zero line so unless there is a real unexpected story of major proportions you wont see V trades there. You will see double bottoms/tops, H&S, 1,2,3 swing trades forming and the slope indicator will be saying to you, look what maybe coming up. So I start looking for them and sure enough they begin to show up.Jemook wrote:I'm also looking forward to seeing how 10.2 reacts to a trend change/chop.
From what I can see the daily for the AUDUSD we are at -1.083 on the TMA Slope. For us to start taking longs it needs to go positive. If the trend suddenly changes up we may get stopped out of shorts we took at the bottom while the daily was still saying to go short but this shouldn't be too bad because of all the pips we gather in a running trend.
I suspect that on a retrace in a D1 Strong Downtrend, we will see H4 WOH get bullish until selling pressure from the D1 trend is strongest. It could be considered mean reversion (IMO scoobs post on GBP = fundy translation of mean reversion).
The slope seems responsive enough that we should be switching to range trading when the D1 starts to flatten into Ranging Downtrend Bias with memory that we were in a Strong Downtrend previously. Fading weekly R1/S1's seem a reasonable strategy rather than the cross of the 5.X MA. Stops can be tighter (other side of R1/S1 with some offset) and less risk as a result.
Admittedly, I still need to practice SRF trades to get a better understanding however I am in the AUDCAD SRF.