Hi wBear,wBear wrote: Hi CC,
Correct me if I'm wrong, GBPJPY is in the "DT-RR" -- Downtrend Retracement scenario. Hence, you mentioned in page 1: "RRs are traded in the bias direction only after the retrace reaches MP and weakens as retracements can be strong soon after a higher TF high/low & bias alert emerges.".
What I would like to clarify is: So, in this GBPJPY case, did you mean to put in a pending Sell just slightly below the MP, which would constitute a correct entry (if PA decides to go back to MP & below that is)?
Correct. GBPJPY is in DT-RR formation. But this retracement IS strong and did not weaken AT MP. PA has gone beyond MP and MP didn't weaken it. It is in fact leading DP and WP upwards into what looks likely to be an emerging UT formation like in early October. Of all the formations, the DT-RR where PA and DP are crossing MP needs the most care because price then has no strong support/resistance to settle it down.
Putting a Sell below MP with SL above FastTMALines would destroy the trading edge for me. I would infact watch for price to first hit some resistance (in this case by exceeding the FastTMALine significantly or by creating a MTF high). Then I will place a short entry close to the upper FastTMALine as TMASlope weakens (if by then no clear emerging bias has been signalled - I won't sell if a UT is emerging!). This should give me a good edge.
Cheers,
CC