The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

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nicoacademia
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by nicoacademia »

Captain Jack wrote:
nicoacademia wrote:something seeing now on the GU
130329 gu.png
I see price setting up for level 2 consolidation and you getting locked into the range...setting up for a gap move on Monday....

Since this is a level 2 rise, the gap "may" be to the lower side Monday, before rising to level 3....

In your count, you have marked the stop hunt as level 2. You can't have 2 levels of rise on 1 day, which you have done with levels 1 and 2.

You will need the gap down Monday to exit this trade if it plays out that way....otherwise it may go against you....

CJ
thanks so much Captain for this. deep inside i know i don't really know how to count levels.

are there anymore characteristics you have observed we should look out for in counting the level of pushes?

-2 levels can't rise in the same day
-stop hunts are not levels

i've attached AJ for this last week and in that rise up. i was not able to count the 3rd push before they sank it. do you know where i missed it?
130330 aj.png
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weakness? :twisted:
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Captain Jack
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Captain Jack »

SteveHopwood wrote:
eltax100 wrote:WOW look at the spread can anyone beat this ?????
Hehe. Call me Mr Suspicious Picky, but something here makes me suspect that CJ might be right about these pinbar thingies. :lol:

I lay in the bath this morning, closed my eyes to reflect on all this, and all I could see in my mind's eye were M's. W's, rrt's and pinbars. :lol:



:D
First off, let me start by saying that thinking of a naked man, lying in his bath, talking about pin bars, RRT's and thingies that go up and down brought horrible visions to my minds eye and shall not be discussed here...what is seen cannot be unseen.....unfortunately, dammit! :lol:

As for the rest, you are spot on.

Bob is a wise man and his words of wisdom on the market hold true. Market makers are called market makers because it is their job to make the market. When you or I choose to buy, they are the ones REQUIRED to sell. When we choose to sell, they are the ones REQUIRED to buy.

Getting back to Bob's remarks. When price is moving up and everybody is buying, the market maker is the one who is selling to us. In order for him to profit, he must bring price down below an average price for all his aggregate sells, in order to make a profit....therefore, what goes up, MUST come down....

When the market is dropping and we are all selling, it is the market maker who is buying on the other side. In order for him to profit, he must bring price back up, above his average price for all of his aggregate buys. What goes down, MUST come up....

In short, this is how the market works and Bob's words hold true.

Brokers and bookies have a lot in common. In theory, they live for the spread. Their risk free business model is to have a balanced book, and make their money on the spread. However, both brokers and bookies are human, and are ruled by the same human traits we all have. Greed being one of them.

A bookie or a broker who has a "whale" as a customer, the one who loses every week, but keeps depositing fresh capital back into his account, is handled "in house". His trades or bets are not going to be offset with the others. In general if a either a bookie or broker has a large imbalance, on one side, they will offset that with another broker, bank or bookie and not accept the risk of the imbalance. If it's the whale who is the imbalance, that will stay in house.

As for GP as a broker, I have no reason to believe they are not a good broker. As long as your trades are executed without delay, your problems are handled quickly and your funds are sent to you when you request, there's little else to ask for. If you are a profitable trader and you find you are constantly being re-quoted or your orders are being delayed, then it's time to look for another broker.

When I set an account up with a new broker, I will test them by sending a small deposit and trading it. What I have seen with some, is that over time, as the account grows larger, my trades are being delayed. Sometimes to the tune of 5 re-quotes or more. Each delay costs me money and it's the delay that is added by that broker. Time to pull the funds and find another broker before committing major funds to this account. If they do this for a small account, imagine what they could do for a larger one.

Having Jeremy on the inside is an advantage to the members here who choose to use GP, but all brokers are in business to make money. There's been a lot of good brokers that have cost their traders much heartbreak and loss, through the actions of just one person. You folks outside of the US have it better than we do as the politicians here herd us into the US brokers where we have no safe guards or protections. Look at PFGBest. Supposedly on of the best....that still has nearly a six figure account of mine locked up in receivership, of which I will probably never see a penny of again.

I believe the link to the broker info you referred to is this one:

http://www.craigharrisforex.com/webinar ... a-oropeza/

While they discuss many things, I don't think they talk about the back office plugins that are used to manage the Empty4 trader accounts. That's another cesspool full of crap right there in itself.

A word of advice if you are using a broker who advertises themselves as a "STP" or "no dealing desk" broker....read the fine print because those phrases are just a series of words. Sometimes you will find "other words" in the fine print that have a different meaning...such as "we MAY" or "we CAN" take an offsetting position in your trades.... Read the agreements you all have signed in setting up your accounts. No matter what is advertised, it's what's in the find print that counts.

I won't discuss specific's on any broker, but I will use brokers feeds to demonstrate the examples I use within this thread. With brokers, it comes down to , Caveat emptor, as always.

As for the other things you've brought up Steve, I'd say you are starting to see this market for what is really is. When you do, it's like getting hit with that sledge hammer right between the eyes.... or snuffing up a whole can of Wilson's Extra Menthol! :shock:

CJ
A man is not defeated when he is beaten, he is defeated when he quits.

The goal is not a "perfect trade" - the goal is a "profitable trade"!
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Captain Jack
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Captain Jack »

hannele wrote:Hi again CJ,
I have now read and reread this thread...pheww. I think I finally got it. Why I am saying this I went to FXAW to look for new developments there and all I can see is fox tracks. When a signal or indy ( checked out few threads there) pops up your fox had already left tracks where one should go hunting.. this is just amazing.. you must have spent even more time on front of charts than I have in last some years (this is all I do, yeh I have a part time life outside fx). How the hell you figured this out beats me, you must be brilliant. Thank you is not enough but I try, you truly have opened my eyes.
Thank you.
hannele
It's like one of those "magic eye" illusions, always right in front of you, but just out of focus. One day, you see it. When you do, you will always see it after that....

CJ
A man is not defeated when he is beaten, he is defeated when he quits.

The goal is not a "perfect trade" - the goal is a "profitable trade"!
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Captain Jack
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Captain Jack »

nicoacademia wrote:
Captain Jack wrote:
nicoacademia wrote:something seeing now on the GU
130329 gu.png
I see price setting up for level 2 consolidation and you getting locked into the range...setting up for a gap move on Monday....

Since this is a level 2 rise, the gap "may" be to the lower side Monday, before rising to level 3....

In your count, you have marked the stop hunt as level 2. You can't have 2 levels of rise on 1 day, which you have done with levels 1 and 2.

You will need the gap down Monday to exit this trade if it plays out that way....otherwise it may go against you....

CJ
thanks so much Captain for this. deep inside i know i don't really know how to count levels.

are there anymore characteristics you have observed we should look out for in counting the level of pushes?

-2 levels can't rise in the same day
-stop hunts are not levels

i've attached AJ for this last week and in that rise up. i was not able to count the 3rd push before they sank it. do you know where i missed it?
130330 aj.png
You won't always get 3 clean up or down legs. If they did it that way, we could all read it like a book...sometimes they throw in the stop hunts, sometimes it will rise of fall and extra level or 2. It may come up short a level or two. It all depends on where the money is for them.

CJ
A man is not defeated when he is beaten, he is defeated when he quits.

The goal is not a "perfect trade" - the goal is a "profitable trade"!
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firesword
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by firesword »

Love this stuff CJ.
I was just recently going through your BARF stuff, needless to say
I am very impressed.Keep it up.
Last edited by firesword on Sat Mar 30, 2013 5:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
A man who carries a cat by the tail learns something he can learn in no other way.
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Captain Jack
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Captain Jack »

firesword wrote:Love this stuff CJ.
I was just recently going through your BARF stuff, needless to say
I am very impressed.Keep it up.
BTW,have you tested the Entropy yet. It looks really good.
Thanks and no, I don't have any need to test it. Craig also requests that all Entropy discussion be confined to FXAW as well so we couldn't discuss it here even if we wanted to.

CJ
A man is not defeated when he is beaten, he is defeated when he quits.

The goal is not a "perfect trade" - the goal is a "profitable trade"!
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nicoacademia
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by nicoacademia »

Captain Jack wrote:
nicoacademia wrote:
Captain Jack wrote:
nicoacademia wrote:something seeing now on the GU
130329 gu.png
I see price setting up for level 2 consolidation and you getting locked into the range...setting up for a gap move on Monday....

Since this is a level 2 rise, the gap "may" be to the lower side Monday, before rising to level 3....

In your count, you have marked the stop hunt as level 2. You can't have 2 levels of rise on 1 day, which you have done with levels 1 and 2.

You will need the gap down Monday to exit this trade if it plays out that way....otherwise it may go against you....

CJ
thanks so much Captain for this. deep inside i know i don't really know how to count levels.

are there anymore characteristics you have observed we should look out for in counting the level of pushes?

-2 levels can't rise in the same day
-stop hunts are not levels

i've attached AJ for this last week and in that rise up. i was not able to count the 3rd push before they sank it. do you know where i missed it?
130330 aj.png
You won't always get 3 clean up or down legs. If they did it that way, we could all read it like a book...sometimes they throw in the stop hunts, sometimes it will rise of fall and extra level or 2. It may come up short a level or two. It all depends on where the money is for them.

CJ
thanks for replying Captain.

understood. it's like trying to finesse a Formula 1 car through the corners. not everything will be the same(steering angle, tyre grip, track conditions, etc) and to deal with it in real time.

i guess i have to keep on seeing n counting to get a grip with it.

thanks for posting the levels n the way you see it/count it.

training my eyes to see as you see.
weakness? :twisted:
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Captain Jack
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by Captain Jack »

nicoacademia wrote:
thanks for replying Captain.

understood. it's like trying to finesse a Formula 1 car through the corners. not everything will be the same(steering angle, tyre grip, track conditions, etc) and to deal with it in real time.

i guess i have to keep on seeing n counting to get a grip with it.

thanks for posting the levels n the way you see it/count it.

training my eyes to see as you see.
There's another stop hunt in the 1st level as well....see the RRT up into the RRT down, in the drop? That's a stop hunt on a lower time frame chart...so they added a stop hunt in each level....

CJ
A man is not defeated when he is beaten, he is defeated when he quits.

The goal is not a "perfect trade" - the goal is a "profitable trade"!
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nicoacademia
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by nicoacademia »

Captain Jack wrote:
nicoacademia wrote:
thanks for replying Captain.

understood. it's like trying to finesse a Formula 1 car through the corners. not everything will be the same(steering angle, tyre grip, track conditions, etc) and to deal with it in real time.

i guess i have to keep on seeing n counting to get a grip with it.

thanks for posting the levels n the way you see it/count it.

training my eyes to see as you see.
There's another stop hunt in the 1st level as well....see the RRT up into the RRT down, in the drop? That's a stop hunt on a lower time frame chart...so they added a stop hunt in each level....

CJ
130330 aj stophuntpush.png
Captain, referring to this stophunt highlighted by the box off the first push out right?
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lhDT
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Re: The Captains Chest - Naked Trading & Other Stuff

Post by lhDT »

Maybe a stupid question but CJ talked about spread widening and candle formation. This should warns us something is about the happen no ?
A bit like the expression "Taking a step backward in order to leap farther forward" (en français : "Reculer pour mieux sauter").
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