garyfritz wrote:nanningbob wrote:Trying to get some clarity on the market here. The Daily CSS tells me there is a Euro currency on top, in the middle and on the bottom. The Asian currencies have a currency on top in the middle and on the bottom and the USD and CAD has one in the positive and one in the negative. Now that is clarity. I think I will go back to bed and suck my thumb.
Bob, I believe you're using the CSS *level* to determine strongest/weakest.
I've beaten the level vs. direction drum for a long time, and I think it applies here too.
The currency on the top of the CSS display is not necessarily the strongest, and vice versa on bottom. You have to pay attention to the DIRECTION the CSS line is going, too.
For example: look at EURUSD in Jan/Feb. EUR was the top CSS line from mid-Jan to early Feb; meanwhile USD was pretty flat so any changes in EURUSD should be coming from EUR. EUR peaked at the end of Jan, then turned down a few days later. EURUSD *instantly* dropped, while EUR was still "strongest." By the time EUR slipped into the #2 position, EURUSD was down almost 300 pips. EURUSD was down EIGHT HUNDRED PIPS by the time EUR was "weakest," i.e. on the bottom of the CSS.
Direction.gif
Or look at AUDCAD in late March when CAD was flat. AUD peaked on Mar 21, and AUDCAD instantly topped out and soon started dropping -- while AUD was still "strongest."
EURCAD jumped soon after EUR bottomed out in late March, and was up 200 pips by the time it was no longer "weakest."
There are lots of other examples but you get the idea.
It might even help you with your search for regional clarity. 2 of the 3 Euro currencies were dropping, then all 3 turned up. NZD and AUD have been dropping in tandem, even though their levels are different. (JPY readings still make no sense.) USD and CAD are going kinda sideways.
Watch
changes of direction in CSS and I think you'll get a lot better/earlier currency signals. Watch the
changes of distance between CSS currencies and you'll get better pair signals. E.g. GBPUSD bottomed out and started climbing in early March when GBP and USD started getting closer -- while USD was still "strongest" and GBP was still "weakest" but GBP headed up and USD headed down.
Gary