10.6 EDSEL

This is where Bob posts his own threads
Post Reply
95026862

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by 95026862 »

harry wrote:after 4 and half hours there will be news for JPY bond and that might make it strong. I dont know how long it will be but this will be my first experience for jpy bond news
usually it's major. last time, we had a 700 pip move on the usdjpy within a day
harry
Trader
Posts: 55
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2013 9:26 am

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by harry »

95026862 wrote:
harry wrote:after 4 and half hours there will be news for JPY bond and that might make it strong. I dont know how long it will be but this will be my first experience for jpy bond news
usually it's major. last time, we had a 700 pip move on the usdjpy within a day
And does it make strong always or there is a chance for negative effect?

Wanted to plan to grab some pips

thanks
95026862

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by 95026862 »

harry wrote:
95026862 wrote:
harry wrote:after 4 and half hours there will be news for JPY bond and that might make it strong. I dont know how long it will be but this will be my first experience for jpy bond news
usually it's major. last time, we had a 700 pip move on the usdjpy within a day
And does it make strong always or there is a chance for negative effect?

Wanted to plan to grab some pips

thanks

most likely it will devalue the currency
User avatar
tibochina
Trader
Posts: 92
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2013 11:56 pm
Location: Florida, USA

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by tibochina »

Thanks Bob. I never change magnification on the info page. Makes quite a difference.
harry
Trader
Posts: 55
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2013 9:26 am

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by harry »

News is out but still i do not see like a big impact...is this the way JPY react on bond news?

thanks
User avatar
nanningbob
Trader
Posts: 4564
Joined: Sun Dec 04, 2011 1:23 pm

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by nanningbob »

harry wrote:News is out but still i do not see like a big impact...is this the way JPY react on bond news?

thanks
The bond sales are held all month. I think they have 10 of them over the next 3 weeks. Their intent is to weaken the currency and is a two year program. There wont be any big moves because it disrupts the market/economies too much but it will send JPY into a slow steady depreciation.

Look at the weekly charts and you will see a similar pattern on all JPY pairs.

1. 2012 JPY economy is stagnant and has been for decades. Abe runs for office on a program to depreciate the YEN and cause inflation of a minimum of 2-3% so JPY economy can grow again. With a debt ratio to GDP of over 220% paying off the debt is impossible but depreciating it is the only way out. Abe is elected and begins putting his people in place in the govt. early 2013

2. April 2013 JPY bond sales begin with the largest sales to economy size in history. We that followed this story had some of our best months ever in trading April/May.

3. Summer range happens as bond sale effective begins to wane and other economies adjust to JPY move. A breather in the program.

4. BOJ announces that the program needs a kick in the butt so beginning in 2014 they are planning on increasing the amount of the bond sales. Price reacts since no one really wants to be in on the wrong end of price action. In other words dont buy the JPY.

5. 2014 JPY YEN will depreciate more as year 2 of the program kicks in. BOJ plans on increasing its bond buying program.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
I trade http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3964,
I talk about my philosophy of trading here.
http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3627
"The key to converting something useful to others is simplicity. Complexity is the enemy to execution." Tony Robbins
User avatar
nanningbob
Trader
Posts: 4564
Joined: Sun Dec 04, 2011 1:23 pm

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by nanningbob »

You were right and I am sorry. I deleted both posts. Please accept my apology.
I trade http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3964,
I talk about my philosophy of trading here.
http://www.stevehopwoodforex.com/phpBB3 ... =38&t=3627
"The key to converting something useful to others is simplicity. Complexity is the enemy to execution." Tony Robbins
95026862

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by 95026862 »

nanningbob wrote:You were right and I am sorry. I deleted both posts. Please accept my apology.

Accepted with open arms ;)
aserschan
Trader
Posts: 44
Joined: Sat Feb 23, 2013 8:06 am

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by aserschan »

nice setup forming on gbp/cad
any comments appreciated...
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
jago25
Trader
Posts: 89
Joined: Fri Oct 25, 2013 5:23 am

Re: 10.6 EDSEL

Post by jago25 »

aserschan wrote:nice setup forming on gbp/cad
any comments appreciated...
If I measure off the pins I get a minimum of about zero pips... if I measure off the candles I get 350, maybe even 450. Perhaps that confirms it as a zero risk trade? (good)

15m GBP/CAD
Image
bigger image: Image

Am I doing this right?:
http://youtu.be/TXWqAUtl5V8
... I never seem to find anything particularly concrete down to the hour. Maybe I'm just not looking enough.
Post Reply

Return to “Bob's individual forum”