Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR) - read this first
-
wealthmaster
- Trader
- Posts: 38
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:21 am
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
A formula where you put stoploss and Takeprofit and then the next 15 lots come up
-
wealthmaster
- Trader
- Posts: 38
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:21 am
-
Dewey McG
- Trader
- Posts: 435
- Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:20 pm
- Location: Tampa FL
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
I really am not sure what you meanwealthmaster » Wed Jun 18, 2014 7:35 pm wrote:anyone?
-
wealthmaster
- Trader
- Posts: 38
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:21 am
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
I want to know the lots in the series. for example have you seen his video where he puts all the variables like ALR zone, take profit and he comes up with lots of next 15 trades.
It should be easy to calculate if somebody knows the advance maths.
It should be easy to calculate if somebody knows the advance maths.
-
Dewey McG
- Trader
- Posts: 435
- Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:20 pm
- Location: Tampa FL
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
OK, I have been playing with the numbers and this actually looks pretty good. Remember, the idea is to be able to enjoy the profits when you are right and try to break even instead of losing. The more turns the less likely you are to ever take a loss but the greater your risk.
I tweaked the numbers just a bit but let's assume for a moment your strategy calls for a 150 pip TP and you would be right just 50% of the time. Let's also assume that 10% of the time it just continues to chop and you don't add any more positions after 10 turns. Even then, half of those will get to BE (or tiny profit), but we will say 10% of the time it goes to 10 turns and you take the loss. That is only 176 pips!
150 pips x 5 = 750 pips
176 pips x 1 = -176 pips
2 pips x 4 = 8 pips
Total profit = 582 pips
In reality, the spread and slippage would eat some of that, but with a half way decent strategy and using pairs with higher volatility this looks like a winner after all.
Did I miss anything, or does this look worth coding? (BTW--Dustin's version is $1997 and Joseph's about 1k more)
I tweaked the numbers just a bit but let's assume for a moment your strategy calls for a 150 pip TP and you would be right just 50% of the time. Let's also assume that 10% of the time it just continues to chop and you don't add any more positions after 10 turns. Even then, half of those will get to BE (or tiny profit), but we will say 10% of the time it goes to 10 turns and you take the loss. That is only 176 pips!
150 pips x 5 = 750 pips
176 pips x 1 = -176 pips
2 pips x 4 = 8 pips
Total profit = 582 pips
In reality, the spread and slippage would eat some of that, but with a half way decent strategy and using pairs with higher volatility this looks like a winner after all.
Did I miss anything, or does this look worth coding? (BTW--Dustin's version is $1997 and Joseph's about 1k more)
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
-
Dewey McG
- Trader
- Posts: 435
- Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:20 pm
- Location: Tampa FL
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
Furthermore, if my numbers are right even if you ran all the way through the 10 turns and lost 4 times, as long as you hit your tp 5 times you would still have a small profit
-
Dewey McG
- Trader
- Posts: 435
- Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:20 pm
- Location: Tampa FL
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
It's actually easy enough to figure out with Excelwealthmaster » Wed Jun 18, 2014 8:59 pm wrote:I want to know the lots in the series. for example have you seen his video where he puts all the variables like ALR zone, take profit and he comes up with lots of next 15 trades.
It should be easy to calculate if somebody knows the advance maths.
-
wealthmaster
- Trader
- Posts: 38
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:21 am
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
your calculations looks good. just to confirm is your -176 in pips?Dewey McG » Thu Jun 19, 2014 1:02 am wrote:OK, I have been playing with the numbers and this actually looks pretty good. Remember, the idea is to be able to enjoy the profits when you are right and try to break even instead of losing. The more turns the less likely you are to ever take a loss but the greater your risk.
I tweaked the numbers just a bit but let's assume for a moment your strategy calls for a 150 pip TP and you would be right just 50% of the time. Let's also assume that 10% of the time it just continues to chop and you don't add any more positions after 10 turns. Even then, half of those will get to BE (or tiny profit), but we will say 10% of the time it goes to 10 turns and you take the loss. That is only 176 pips!
150 pips x 5 = 750 pips
176 pips x 1 = -176 pips
2 pips x 4 = 8 pips
Total profit = 582 pips
In reality, the spread and slippage would eat some of that, but with a half way decent strategy and using pairs with higher volatility this looks like a winner after all.
Did I miss anything, or does this look worth coding? (BTW--Dustin's version is $1997 and Joseph's about 1k more)
-
wealthmaster
- Trader
- Posts: 38
- Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2014 2:21 am
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
Can you share this formulated spreadsheet, as well as ALR version.( I am not good with spreadsheet calculations)Dewey McG » Thu Jun 19, 2014 1:02 am wrote:OK, I have been playing with the numbers and this actually looks pretty good. Remember, the idea is to be able to enjoy the profits when you are right and try to break even instead of losing. The more turns the less likely you are to ever take a loss but the greater your risk.
I tweaked the numbers just a bit but let's assume for a moment your strategy calls for a 150 pip TP and you would be right just 50% of the time. Let's also assume that 10% of the time it just continues to chop and you don't add any more positions after 10 turns. Even then, half of those will get to BE (or tiny profit), but we will say 10% of the time it goes to 10 turns and you take the loss. That is only 176 pips!
150 pips x 5 = 750 pips
176 pips x 1 = -176 pips
2 pips x 4 = 8 pips
Total profit = 582 pips
In reality, the spread and slippage would eat some of that, but with a half way decent strategy and using pairs with higher volatility this looks like a winner after all.
Did I miss anything, or does this look worth coding? (BTW--Dustin's version is $1997 and Joseph's about 1k more)
-
Dewey McG
- Trader
- Posts: 435
- Joined: Sat Nov 26, 2011 4:20 pm
- Location: Tampa FL
Automatic Loss Recovery System (ALR)
Yes, that is correctwealthmaster » Wed Jun 18, 2014 10:38 pm wrote:
your calculations looks good. just to confirm is your -176 in pips?